I have another one...In The Congo...reasons..
1-never won the distance
2-never raced on the track
3-the Chief thinks he's the equal of Anamoe=lay it till the cows come home.
Don't know why you are obsessed with Thomas..AFAIK...he has an extensive knowledge of racing.
You confirm that ITC has NOT won at the distance he is entered for on a track he has not raced on.
If you had a poll of who is the better horse Anamoe or ITC...who you say is his equal ,I am very confident the overwhelming result would be ANAMOE!
Don't try too hard...never said it did.
Most people know first time down the straight 6 can be tricky-often the draw means alot.
Of course ITC hasn't won at 1200m.
As for being the equal of Anamoe....you're pulling like a private schoolboy...Anamoe has won a Guineas and has a 2nd in the CP.
' but at $124 I thought there was a bit of overs there.'..just a BIT...Lol.
Chat was overs after her run behind Phoebeter beating Fasika...and as far as unders goes...generally you won't win with hot favs.
A good way to end up with egg on thy face but...lets see and don't forget the reason!
Start the ball rolling-R8 Flemington-Mr Brightside-stats-c1/1 ,dist 5/5-8 starts 6 wins/1 2nd.
Why...much stronger opposition...even though he carries only 52 and has C.Williams as pilot I am against him,because I don't like the times he has run over the trip.
Plenty of Kiwi breeding in this race.Dirty on Tutukaka winning without me last start.
Looks very open .
Big run from Jungle Magnate last start did not go unnoticed.
Whats the best form line?
With a more conservative ride Commander Harry can win....So I'm Commander Harry-Jungle Magnate-Tutukaka-Gundec.
Any insights?
The horse doesn't know what its paying.
There are so many variables to consider and often luck is the decisive factor.
Pricing horses is usually done by strict form analysis..i.e what is known about performance.
Why did Romancer pay $124.50 to win early this year?
Partly.
As for Aegon,alot of the big guns have horror draws in that race.With Apache Chase and Ellsberg in good slots,hopefully the field breaks up a bit.Rosehill is a real frontrunners track.
15/16 is about my rating.
Over 1400M Entriviere beat Icebath,and ran 3rd to Vangelic/Nimalee...a line through that form,if you consider Amarelhina better ,makes it an enticing proposition,one would think.