Thomass Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 8 minutes ago, barryb said: Hey Mardi, great to see you still doing the BP lays. Certainly is a punting masterclass to find so many short priced lays on a Saturday, I guess we have Tommy to thank for his insights. Grasshead wouldn't know how to do a DP on curious let alone moi's BP's.. Its a total guessing game with his phantasy list.... ..."3L either way don't matter...wide without cover..no difference" simply bizarre Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Will it be a feast or famine? All of these are 'superior performance in superior class back in grade'. Super BT specials Track Race # Runner Gear Changes Ellerslie 1 3 STEVEN JAMES Ellerslie 1 5 MARCELLINA Ellerslie 3 2 STRATOCASTER Ellerslie 3 5 AKOYA Blinkers On Ellerslie 3 6 JOY ANNA Ellerslie 3 8 MERLINI Ellerslie 3 10 HAMMER KING Ellerslie 4 2 MORRIE OCK Blinkers Off Ellerslie 6 4 FIONESAY Ellerslie 6 7 MAKTOUM Ellerslie 6 8 LE CASTILE Ellerslie 6 9 RONDINELLA Ellerslie 6 12 SANDRINE Ellerslie 6 16 MERCY HILL Ellerslie 6 18 IFFINDOUBT Blinkers On Ellerslie 7 2 GIOVANNI CANALETTO Ellerslie 8 6 FANCY MORE Ellerslie 8 7 FISCAL FANTASY Wanganui 4 6 HANK MOODY Wanganui 5 2 LAAFFAIRE Wanganui 5 3 SLIMLINE Wanganui 5 4 PETITE EN JEU Wanganui 8 6 LARIMA 2nd tier specials Ellerslie 1 14 SMEDLEY Ellerslie 4 9 SPINDLE Ellerslie 7 3 RONCHI Ellerslie 7 8 ELUSIVE TREASURE Wanganui 2 2 BROTHER ONE Wanganui 3 10 PIRIWAI Wanganui 4 1 CHIC Wanganui 6 4 CHOICE ATTITUDE Wanganui 7 1 BEEFEATER Wanganui 7 3 HIGHLAD Wanganui 7 6 SAMPSON Nose Band Off, Tongue Tie Off Wanganui 7 9 CHINA STAR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Looks like I am in for a shit day based on the PUNTING MASTERCLASS that Tommy will be taking, only have one of them. 14:30 ell R01 13 Suspense $9.00 15:40 ell R03 5 Akoya $4.50 16:15 ell R04 11 Molto Veloce $3.20 17:30 ell R06 14 Hatton Garden $19.00 18:50 ell R08 14 Top Actress $9.00 13:00 wgu R02 8 Lincoln's Gal $6.00 13:35 wgu R03 1 All In Mana $4.00 14:10 wgu R04 11 Lincoln Bay $7.00 14:45 wgu R05 7 Lady Kartel $4.00 15:24 wgu R06 3 Tellyawhat $5.00 15:59 wgu R07 8 Rock On $16.00 16:34 wgu R08 15 Adonis $6.50 I appear to have a few at decent overs based on my pricing, thoughts Mardi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 17 Veloce as a smokey in the first at Wang. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 9 minutes ago, barryb said: Looks like I am in for a shit day based on the PUNTING MASTERCLASS that Tommy will be taking, only have one of them. 14:30 ell R01 13 Suspense $9.00 ($12.00) 15:40 ell R03 5 Akoya $4.50 ($8.60) - must be the bet! 16:15 ell R04 11 Molto Veloce $3.20 ($4.20 - equal top with Pink Grafitti) 17:30 ell R06 14 Hatton Garden $19.00 ($10.50) 18:50 ell R08 14 Top Actress $9.00 ($6.40) 13:00 wgu R02 8 Lincoln's Gal $6.00 ($13.50) 13:35 wgu R03 1 All In Mana $4.00 ($2.86) 14:10 wgu R04 11 Lincoln Bay $7.00 ($8.20) 14:45 wgu R05 7 Lady Kartel $4.00 ($6.20) 15:24 wgu R06 3 Tellyawhat $5.00 ($6.00) 15:59 wgu R07 8 Rock On $16.00 ($27.00) 16:34 wgu R08 15 Adonis $6.50 ($10.00) I appear to have a few at decent overs based on my pricing, thoughts Mardi. My assessment in brackets. Good luck. My prices for Ellerslie based on a track still around the 3/4 up to 5 range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Cheers Mardi, Hatton Garden does look a top bet and our pricing confirms that. Top Actress also looks a decent hope. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 2 hours ago, barryb said: Looks like I am in for a shit day based on the PUNTING MASTERCLASS that Tommy will be taking, only have one of them. 14:30 ell R01 13 Suspense $9.00 Maybe the Down In Grade thing is back to front. Suspense wins a Premier meeting $30k R72 after winning a $10k midweek Maiden. Might have to look at that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newmarket Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Good start barry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLB2.0 Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 $41 for Hatton Garden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Hmm another average day for the BP Mardi. Good work in convincing us Tommy, we are all believers now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 No doubt the resident jester will have a go at my 2 tips. Both performed above market expectation, Masque 3 lengths and Tipperary Mary 5 lengths from the winner. They did well and worth following 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 37 minutes ago, barryb said: Hmm another average day for the BP Mardi. Good work in convincing us Tommy, we are all believers now. Yes, what a day for the blue print. Thomass has every opportunity to claim these aren't blue print runners for whatever reason - before the races. But it doesn't happen. I put all these up prior to the race - I should end up with egg on my face. So today, 35 runners, 3 winners at $1 win each, got back $31.70. Just over 90%. If you take 85/price for each runner, you would have expected more than 3 winners from the odds backed for those 35 runners. if you had used a dartboard, you would have expected to get the same return from your $35. And the $13 winner - gets in the 'down in grade' specials with a 6.6L 5th in a listed race - in it's 6th race since. Now compare that to your selections. A profit. And even if you take your selections and only back them at higher than my prices, still a profit. This is not unusual. You could go back over time and find exactly the same thing across these threads. Today, just another day of losses for the down in graders - even with two double figure winners. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Yep, its total bullshit and anyone with more than Tommy's brain could figure it out for themsleves. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 I forgot to mention, today's blue print letter is C. Back horses in Aus and NZ starting with the letter C. Good luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 17 minutes ago, mardigras said: I forgot to mention, today's blue print letter is C. Back horses in Aus and NZ starting with the letter C. Good luck. Wahoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo Toowoomba Race 1 at BF SP at $300 Farking A. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 (edited) 8 minutes ago, barryb said: Wahoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo Toowoomba Race 1 at BF SP at $300 Farking A. This blue print shit is too damn easy. Edited December 1, 2018 by mardigras Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 (edited) I have to say, Tommy is a bloody god after that win, how is tomorrows bp letter chosen?. Edited December 1, 2018 by barryb Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Just now, barryb said: I have to say, Tommy is a bloody god after that win, how is tomorrows bp letter chosen?. You wait til a good priced winner comes in - and there you have it!!!! It's the same as the Thomas blue print. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Of course it is, silly me. Sorry for questioning it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 I am off to bed shortly, I am so excited about tomorrows letter that I might pee my pants if I stay up late. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 (edited) 6 minutes ago, barryb said: I am off to bed shortly, I am so excited about tomorrows letter that I might pee my pants if I stay up late. Funny that you talk about 'pee' since 'P' is Thomass's favourite blue print letter - because of the 'Princess' - only just beating out B - for Blow Up and D for Doll. Edited December 1, 2018 by mardigras Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Oh right awesome, so tomorrow's hint is letter P, I will copy all of them over into my bet monitor right now. Thanks for the heads up mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Just need some clarity on this please guys. Race 5 tomorrow is Pippi Rea, Passito or King Pin the bet? really this isn’t as easy as I thought it might be. Or am I best to wait till after the race and then decide? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 (edited) 17 minutes ago, barryb said: Just need some clarity on this please guys. Race 5 tomorrow is Pippi Rea, Passito or King Pin the bet? really this isn’t as easy as I thought it might be. Or am I best to wait till after the race and then decide? BP says wait. I'll go out on a limb and say Pippi Rea. 3 Ps is a P epidemic so add 10%. Group 3 3rd last start at Riccarton, back to ordinary B82, add another 20% Edited December 1, 2018 by FeelTheFear 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 2 hours ago, FeelTheFear said: No doubt the resident jester will have a go at my 2 tips. Both performed above market expectation, Masque 3 lengths and Tipperary Mary 5 lengths from the winner. They did well and worth following It makes no diff what he says. He is clueless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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