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Donald McCain Blog – Navajo Pass Plans, Thoughts on Minella Trump & The Con Man’s Chance At Ascot
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By Wandering Eyes · Posted
A survey done by the New York Thoroughbred Horsemen's Association in January found that 81% of its members expected to race fewer times if a ban on race-day Lasix is extended to all overnight races.View the full article -
so many factors are at play when it comes to how much the nz racing industry can benefit from sports betting increases. like for every $ spent on sports betting,what % of profit actually will end up going to racing. Entain must have a good idea by now,but no one seems to be saying what it is. its the same with horse racing,just because turnover goes up ,doesn't mean profits are going up.If we only had tote betting yes it would be simple,but because so much turnover relates to fixed odds betting,we need to know what % profit that aspect is returning the industry. For example,if sports betting goes up 50%,then entain take their cut,the sports organisations take their cut,tax rates,yield rates,etc are at play. in other words a 50% increase in sports turnover probably only returns the racing industry a single digit increase on previouis years amounts,in profit to be distributed to horse racing.I don't know for sure,no one is saying,but i do know for sure people should not get too excited and think a 50% sports turnover increase means a really big windfall for the industry,because we don't have enough information to say that.Its got to be a positive thing,but just how big it really is,who knows. And if say the harness racing code,is spending beyond their means,well they most likely are going to struggle even with a bit of help from sports betting returns.I mean,the racing codes have been spending based on what?How could they possibly know for sure how much they are likely to get.They had to have been guessing until a year of the geo blocking has played out.. then with sports betting you have the variable that played out in the usa a couple of years ago relating to the nfl. The betting agencies all took big hits to their profits because the nfl had a run of favorites win. I mean ,the oppposite could happen of course,but again looking at something and saying 53 increase,its too vague to get too excited. I was reading yesterday how entain shares have fallen 25% this year and that was down close to half on itspeak price in the last year.i think they are publishing their yearly results soon,but they have revised their profits down for this year and for next year.Apparently the prediction markets are taking off in some countries which is effecting betting on the likes of sports. E.g.in the USA you can bet on the likes of whether zelensky will wear a suit to the white house. Because that type of betting is more profitable % for the betting agencies who focus on it,they are able to offer better odds than you may get on the likes of sports betting. Of course what they can bet on in the usa is different from here or the uk. But does entains global profit have any effect on nz racing.Probably not,but then again it may do down the track,who really knows. -
By Murray Fish · Posted
4 Gelding's, 7 Fillies, no Colts. Talking to JG the other day "She is a very good filly" -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
by Christina Bossinakis & Patrycja Szpyra Cherokee Nation (Not This Time) took six starts to break his maiden, but he'd been facing quality rivals in the lead up to his graduation party last Friday. Now, his connections report that elite contests are in the colt's future with their eyes specifically turned toward the GI Santa Anita Derby. “When the kids go to school, they have fancy Friday and [last] Friday was a fancy Friday for us,” said co-owner Tom Ryan. “We're typically looking at Saturday afternoon, but we were very happy to see what Cherokee put together out there. We have high expectations. All going well, he will likely start next in the Santa Anita Derby.” “I don't think that we've had a 3-year-old on the first of March produce a performance like that. And he came back out of the race great. This horse has given us all the indications that this is him putting his hand up [and saying] 'put me in, coach.'” Ryan continued, “For one thing, the timing is great and he's telling us that he's up to the challenge. In regard to the race this weekend, the bar was 100 and he ran 110. The Ragozin came back a four on the sheets, which is a really elite racehorse right there.” Unveiled last September for trainer Bob Baffert, Cherokee Nation was a troubled fourth in his debut at Del Mar and came back Oct. 13 to miss breaking his maiden by a nose to Grade I-placed Mr. A.P. (American Pharoah). “He's been promising all along. He finished behind very high quality horses in his first two starts. We felt he had put together two exiting races.” Sent on a road trip to Kentucky, Cherokee Nation faced salty competition in the GII Kentucky Jockey Club and again after his return to California in the GIII Robert B. Lewis Stakes, the former won by Further Ado (Gun Runner) and the latter by 'TDN Rising Star, presented by Hagyard' GSW & GISP Plutarch (Into Mischief). He ran fifth on both occasions and squeezed another runner-up effort against maidens in between them. “Shipping him to Churchill, it probably was a little bit too much too soon,” said Ryan. “Since coming back to California, we ran him in another graded stakes race because unfortunately we didn't have enough maidens to run out there. If we would have had more opportunities to run in a maiden, I'm sure we would have. So we ended up with a horse that was fit and we felt that we needed to give him chances, and to keep building that foundation. To some degree, maybe it's all been to our benefit that it worked out this way.” Last Friday, it was sixth-time lucky for the $1.15-million Keeneland September yearling purchased by Donato Lanni for the partnership that eventually comprised of SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Bashor Racing, Determined Stables, Golconda Stable, Waves Edge Capital, and Catherine Donovan. He never let Winston Ave (Quality Road) out of his sights and the race was more or less over when he took command on the far turn. It was 10 lengths back to the closest competition. “I really feel that performance the other day was just spectacular. That was a performance that you ask yourself, 'wow, did that really happen?' He traveled into the far turn and it just looked like he was in command of the race at every call. When [jockey Emisael Jaramillo] let him go and asked him, the horse turned into a monster.” “He looked comfortable the whole way and as Bob says, 'We find out more and more about these horses as we run them.' This horse put his hand up as in the trip is not going to be a problem. Whether it's a mile and an eighth or a mile and a quarter, you would have the confidence that this horse would see those trips out.” Ryan continued by confidently stating that, for everything they saw in him at the yearling sale, the circle has looped back around in more ways than one. “[Cherokee Nation] was the most expensive yearling we purchased that year. He doesn't just catch your eye but he stops you in your tracks. He's everybody's type of sexy. He's just a big, beautiful, two-turn horse that is exciting to have in the barn. The fact that he is out of an Indian Charlie mare is full circle with Bob because he trained Indian Charlie and he's such a good broodmare sire. We are truly excited about the horse and about Not This Time. It feels like sky is the limit with that stallion.” Litmus Test | Horsephotos Litmus Test Exits Rebel in Good Shape, Arkansas Derby Next Favored in last weekend's GII Rebel Stakes, SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Golconda Stable, Waves Edge Capital LLC and Catherine Donovan's Litmus Test (Nyquist) showed early speed, however, got a little leg weary late, finishing third to Class President (Uncle Mo) and Silent Tactic (Tacitus). Despite the first defeat since his victory in the GII Los Alamitos Futurity on Dc. 13, SF Racing's Tom Ryan wasn't discouraged by the effort. “I thought Litmus Test's performance [ third in the Rebel Stales] was pretty solid,” he said. “I think he'll progress along. He came out of his race in good shape. Oaklawn's [surface] may have been a little more demanding than we initially felt. He's definitely a good horse and we know he's a cut above his performance in the Rebel.” Asked what's next for the $875,000 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga yearling purchase, Ryan told TDN, “I think he is entitled to run back in the [Mar. 28 GI] Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn. I think he will have benefitted from his run in the Rebel and hopefully, he can move forward off of that.” Likely to return later this season, the partnership's Kristofferson (Nyquist) hasn't been seen since finishing sixth behind Intrepido (Maximus Mischief) in the GI American Pharoah Stakes on Oct. 4. A $1.15 million purchase at Keeneland last September, he narrowly defeated Mr. A.P. (Honor A.P.) in his career debut sprinting six furlongs at Del Mar last August. Mr. A.P. subsequently finished second in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile at the seaside oval. “He's at Santa Anita and he's probably going to get a little bit more in the next 10 days and we look forward to him,” said Ryan. “He's a horse that has shown that has shown he has a level of brilliance about him. He ran a 90 Beyer as a 2-year-old and he's got that Nyquist class about him.” The colt was last seen working six furlongs in 1:12.40 at Santa Anita on Jan. 18. In his only other work since the American Pharoah, he worked four furlongs in :46.40, the fastest of 90 at the distance on Jan. 11. “We just backed off him,” said Ryan. “He was a horse that we did all the usual scans to make sure we were happy with him and continued to move forward. Bob [Baffert] felt we should give this horse an easy 30 days. It's not like he's in a paddock in Northern California somewhere. He is at Santa Anita, two stalls down from Bob's office. We look forward to getting him back.” He added, “We just felt we needed to give him a little bit of time over Christmas and through the first part of the year to truly mature physically and mentally, so we can have him humming along through late spring and summer.” Of the older set, Ryan explained that the team is also lookign forward to the return of TDN Rising Stars, presented by Hagyard Cornucopian (Into Mischief) and Imagination (Into Mischief). The former kicked off 2026 with an optional claiming score at Santa Anita on Jan. 31, while the latter was last seen taking the G2 Riyadh Dirt Sprint on the Saudi Cup undercard at King Abdulaziz Racecourse on Feb. 14. “We are looking foward to Cornucopian being a nice 4-year-old and Imagination is back fro Saudi Arabia,” he said. “We're excited about the group. We have a few difference vintages there but they'll all have their windows to jump through.” “It's a progressive time of the year for us and we have a few in the chamber that, if things go well, we'll have more bullets to fire in the spring and summer.” The post Cherokee Nation, Litmus Test Have Elite Engagements on Their Horizon appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions. View the full article -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Well Written (Written Tycoon) may carry the colours of thoroughbred industry giant Yulong Investments, but she has an army of other part-owners who will be cheering her home in Saturday’s $4 million NZB Kiwi (1500m) at Ellerslie. The undefeated Group One-winning filly has 16 individual ownership interests, with Yulong holding the controlling interest, and all her connections are equally enjoying the journey she is taking them on. Well Written has won all five of her starts to date for trainer Stephen Marsh, with Yulong buying their interest in the filly following her victory in the Gr.2 Soliloquy Stakes (1400m) last October, with the daughter of Written Tycoon going on to post successive wins in the Gr.1 New Zealand 1000 Guineas (1600m), Gr.2 Auckland Guineas (1400m), and $1.5 million Karaka Millions 3YO (1600m). Greg Pope, a member of the 8 Mates Syndicate, has been part of the journey since buying shares in her as a yearling, and he said he is enjoying the ride with his friends, as well as the new friends he has made amongst her other owners. “There is a large ownership group with a lot of friends, and we have made a lot of new friends along the way,” Pope said. “8 Mates have had horses with Stephen before. We are a bunch of guys around retirement age that have been mates for years. We are not in it for the money, we are only a small shareholder in the horse, and it’s all about going to the races with mates and having some fun. “We all head to the races with our wives and get to go on a trip somewhere and this horse has taken us on those trips.” Pope, who has been involved in the racing industry all of his life and has recently retired after working for equine airfreight company IRT for 30 years, has tasted success on the track in the past, but not to the extent of Well Written’s deeds, and he is glad he and his group of mates decided to buy into the filly. “We have raced horses with Stephen Marsh and Chris Waller, and we had a horse called Gold Rush with Lance O’Sullivan who won the Matamata Breeders’ (Gr.2, 1200m),” he said. “During summer around the bar leaner at Whangamata we were told we needed to be in on this horse (Well Written), so we bought a piece of her. So far, so good, and the journey she has taken us on has been a lot of fun.” While Pope has been enjoying the ride with his 8 Mates Syndicate, he said he has also enjoyed meeting Well Written’s other owners, with the large contingent meeting each other for the first time the night before her New Zealand 1000 Guineas victory. “In advance of the 1000 Guineas we teed up on the Friday night down in Christchurch that we all met each other at a bar,” Pope said. “We have now got a great group of people that we can talk to easily and each race those relationships get stronger and stronger. We are fortunate to be with a group of good people.” Pope said he has also enjoyed racing a horse in partnership with Yulong, with his ties with some of their employees going back several decades. “I have known Sam Fairgray (Yulong chief operating officer) for many years from when he was working here in New Zealand at Ra Ora Stud,” Pope said. “Because we knew Sam Fairgray, it was exciting, and it is good for New Zealand racing to have Yulong in there.” Well Written’s success has been a particular tonic for one member of the 8 Mates Syndicate, who is currently battling illness, and Pope is hoping she can continue her winning ways this weekend to provide that much-needed boost. The syndicate will be trackside at Ellerslie on Saturday to cheer home their pride and joy, and Pope said he is enjoying the lead-up to what is becoming New Zealand’s biggest day in racing. “We are all going to be there with our wives,” he said. “I am off to the barrier draw and I was out at Ellerslie on Monday morning to watch her gallop. It’s a great time of life to just be enjoying it.” View the full article
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