curious

Doesn't seem that long ago that NZTR thought Monday racing was going to save us.

Gosh. BF had over 18k win matched on the Foxbridge and 22k place. They'll pass the TAB tote soon at that rate.

Critique of Doshi. https://absolutelymaybe.plos.org/2021/08/31/this-waning-immunity-argument-against-the-fdas-covid-vaccine-approval-is-a-scientific-quagmire/

Sounds like Greyhounds could be gone. Horses might follow. Worse if we hold on and they include revenue from overseas greyhound racing in any prohibition.

I suppose it depends what you mean by "spelling". I don't see how you could do that for much under $40 a day and I also don't see how you could train one with a small profit for much under $100 a day.

I don't see how they could be more than paying their way at those rates if staff etc. are being reasonably compensated.

Cup meeting not far away but I still have not seen nor heard anything from the CJC and/or NZTR about plans for fixing what once was one of the better tracks in the world.

`Yeahh, costs have to be similar. Stakes here have to be way less because that's what we can afford based on revenue.

Nope. Just shortens the price.

Oz have the revenue from racing to support their stakes today. NZ doesn't have the revenue to support the stakes you cite.They need to be reduced. I thought that was the point? I missed it as well then.

Seems promising to me.

I agree. If re-opening is contingent on a substantial proportion of the population being in an effective vaccination status by the end of the year say, re-opening can't happen based on the current vaccine strategy and the evidence at hand. Even the short-lived re-opening strategy with Australia has failed miserably and any re-opening is as much dependent on the rest of the world as it is on NZ. We may be in our own national bubble for some time to come.

Why? Given that even freshly vaccinated, the benefit evidence against Delta is doubtful, if the current outbreak is quashed in NZ and there is no other and therefore no risk for say 6 months, it will certainly be largely ineffective by then, especially against any new variant. Already those who were vaccinated early, in Feb and March probably would have little protection against a new variant.

Isolated case but this sort of stuff keeps me wavering on getting the jab.

I haven't seen any media reports only the MoH release. However wouldn't a drop in testing rates likely be due to a fall in new close contact numbers and people experiencing symptoms, so be expected?

53 cases. All in AKL. No unexpected watewater results. We can do this.

Where did you see that. Not in my version that I can see.

Yes. However the authors covered that issue by noting that because of the very low sero-positive incidence finding, the 'n' turned out to be too low to analyse and compare sub-samples

Other than the noted limitations, what flaws do you see?

They have. That's what the above is. Funded by the MBIE.

Happy to see them, including by Zoom. Might help pay some training bills.

Yes it's a very clever systematic analysis especially since he had to patch data together from media reports and whatever from most places. A bit irrelevant to NZ though. Seroprevalence research here suggested a figure of about .1% cf. > 10% in the likes of the US and Europe where the pandemic has been poorly controlled. Don't think Ioannidis included any NZ data. "The very low seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in New Zealand implies that undetected community transmission has been limited. This seroprevalence is broadly similar to a recent study conducted in the low prevalence city of Sydney in Australia [3], and markedly lower than estimates of >10% from serosurveys in Europe and North America where the pandemic has been poorly controlled (https://serotracker.com). https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8365046/

Just to be clear Brodie, I don't think I ever said that or even thought it.