Newmarket Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 Here’s a couple at Randwick which I’ll be backing, R1-1 R2-8. 2 Quote
wally Posted June 23, 2018 Author Posted June 23, 2018 33 minutes ago, Newmarket said: Here’s a couple at Randwick which I’ll be backing, R1-1 R2-8. well done hope the 2nd one gets up Quote
Newmarket Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 7 minutes ago, Newmarket said: Get on Prom Queen,!! Went nill Quote
The Centaur Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 7 hours ago, wally said: any tips for today except be nice to your mother I must be going stupid. I thought Volpe Veloce would be red hot favourite. Why is it at 30:1 ? Quote
barryb Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, The Centaur said: I must be going stupid. I thought Volpe Veloce would be red hot favourite. Why is it at 30:1 ? its drawn the carpark, idiots like Thomass over react to shit like that. Quote
Guest CrossCodes Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 Im giving Invincible Gem one more crack, Kris Lees horses haven't been going the best the last fortnight but hopefully this one can get me out of the Quagmire! Quote
Kakama Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 23 hours ago, mardigras said: Some I will be looking at today. Morphettville R2 #6 Burn Off Doomben R5 #4 I Am Impinge Donald R7 #12 Lindsay Alfred Quirindi R5 #12 Sammi Jain Beaudesert R5 #4 Ace Stryker Randwick R9 #13 Timing Doomben R9 #2 Bassett Toowoomba R7 #5 The Irons And some in NZ in different races to barryb Riccartion R7 #13 Lin Tauranga R2 #3 Kitaya Tauranga R6 #9 Its A Kinda Magic Gee.....I hope you only looked at them and not bet on them!! At this rate you could get a job tipping on trackside.....HaHa 1 Quote
Kakama Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 On 23/06/2018 at 10:37 AM, barryb said: bop R01 5 Come Back Tiger bop R03 1 Nailed It bop R04 2 El Disparo ric R06 7 Elfee ric R08 6 Saronic Miss bop R08 13 Seconds Out (huge smokey, taken at $81) Bloody tough going on those bog nz tracks yesterday.... Quote
mardigras Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Kakama said: Gee.....I hope you only looked at them and not bet on them!! At this rate you could get a job tipping on trackside.....HaHa Backed two of those Kakama. Both lost. Still, do you expect to get many winners from horses paying $10 plus. Do trackside tipsters show a profit from all their selections - might have to apply if that is the case. Edited June 23, 2018 by mardigras 4 Quote
barryb Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 3 for today. tea R04 5 In A Minute tea R06 3 Big Meadsy tea R07 7 St D'ore 2 Quote
Kakama Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 7 minutes ago, mardigras said: Backed two of those Kakama. Both lost. Still, do you expect to get many winners from horses paying $10 plus. Do trackside tipsters show a profit from all their selections - might have to apply if that is the case. Just having you on mate....good to see you posted a few....either a zero or hero when anyone posts tips... 1 Quote
mardigras Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, Kakama said: Just having you on mate....good to see you posted a few....either a zero or hero when anyone posts tips... Gee - just looked - backed three of them actually. All lost. Still, on this thread, would be easily in profit - does that count me out of tipping on trackside? 1 1 Quote
Kakama Posted June 23, 2018 Posted June 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, mardigras said: Gee - just looked - backed three of them actually. All lost. Still, on this thread, would be easily in profit - does that count me out of tipping on trackside? You would be too good for trackside. They like all their presenters at the same level.....bad 1 1 Quote
The Centaur Posted June 24, 2018 Posted June 24, 2018 OK lets have a go at Singapore. In Race2 it seems between three horses Our Showcase, Fame star, and Autumn Assault. All three seem to have good trial form. The 2yo's with huge weight advantage in these races really perform well in Singapore. However Autumn Assault has poor draw and is a bit dicey behaviour wise. Therefore at 20:1 I think Royal Pavillion with Vorster at 49kg has a great chance. A big 2yo obviously better with time but loooking at his trials I believe he could knock the favourites off. But N.B. I've been wrong before. Quote
curious Posted June 24, 2018 Posted June 24, 2018 Have a look at Gulfstream Race 5 #4 Durlyn. No odds yet but about a 20% chance by me. 1 Quote
curious Posted June 24, 2018 Posted June 24, 2018 (edited) Be careful though. Thommo would probably say the danger is Towa. Blinkers on. Edited June 24, 2018 by curious 1 Quote
Thomass Posted June 24, 2018 Posted June 24, 2018 On 23/06/2018 at 7:32 AM, Portfolio said: Well, No surprises to see what this thread has turned into. Just shows, you only need one know it all to spoil a thread, maybe label a horse rather than the usual bitch fight stuff Threads develop don't they? It can be like a virus (Mardi grass) at times...but just inserting a whole bunch of 'tips' at 10's for willy Wally to suck other peeps brains over is a tad f in boring isn't it? Its best willy develop his own strategies on 'how to' select winners from other punter's years of experience methinks... Bazza reporting fresh from the course worked well and and was 'value added' ...tips without explanation, like Mardi grasses, is like smoking a pipe full of ink weed... Quote
Thomass Posted June 24, 2018 Posted June 24, 2018 On 23/06/2018 at 4:38 PM, barryb said: its drawn the carpark, idiots like Thomass over react to shit like that. As I've said before Bazz..I ignore barriers for the punt...most are way overs and good Jockeys often ride for luck... What I do, post race, is factor in neddys caught wide..especially without cover Thats a big part of form analysis obviously...slow, over racing, checked, unlucky et el This is part of form analysis 101... Keewees going to Oz better be at the top of their game... or they'll be badly found out...as many have yet again Quote
mardigras Posted June 25, 2018 Posted June 25, 2018 2 hours ago, Thomass said: ...tips without explanation, like Mardi grasses, is like smoking a pipe full of ink weed... They come with an explanation. They are based on having a greater % chance than a price of $10+ suggests. Seems to have worked out that way as well. And that explanation happens pre race as well. Like the selections do. Quote
Thomass Posted June 25, 2018 Posted June 25, 2018 It's not helping willy long term if you're successful... Its a brief moment in time to make your jingles jangle...nothing more B/s like algorithms don't work here...that's why you can't operate on NZ racing ...just stick to Gundy Gai...and eeking out a small % to buy your magic mushrooms for the day... Quote
mardigras Posted June 25, 2018 Posted June 25, 2018 It helps a lot more than things like blinkers on, 3yo after Christmas down in grade, 3kg claimers in the winter or any of the myriad pieces of advice you've given. Since they lead to the poor house. As for long term, no one's individual selections on here can lead to long term success. But if a punter is able to work out chance well (which is the basis for my selections) then that can certainly lead to long term success. And that would be the best advice I can give - after the advice of ignoring every idea you go on about to do with punting, of course. Quote
curious Posted June 25, 2018 Posted June 25, 2018 Which is why I put the chance estimate alongside my Gulfstream tip. It lost but I didn't back it anyway at 7/2. Nor the one that was first time in blinkers or lined up with any of Thommo's other theories. Quote
Thomass Posted June 25, 2018 Posted June 25, 2018 11 minutes ago, curious said: Which is why I put the chance estimate alongside my Gulfstream tip. It lost but I didn't back it anyway at 7/2. Nor the one that was first time in blinkers or lined up with any of Thommo's other theories. Estimate to what correlation? When you put your finger up its ass...it felt warm enough to become a 20% chance? ...oh your algorithms are all about sectionals aren't they? ...but nothing extra if the trainer estimates...like you do at 20%...it'll improve an extra 5% with the Blinkers on...after observing it running around gawking....all curious like... ...then Harry Houdini forgot to tell you where the fast lane was after he walked the track...bug her #shouldhavestayedinbed Quote
curious Posted June 25, 2018 Posted June 25, 2018 Estimates are not to do with any correlation or I'm not sure what you mean by that. If there's anything that will improve a fit horse by 5% please let me know. That's the difference between a decent maiden and Black Caviar. And no, I don't use sectionals at all. I find them irrelevant, but that's just me. Quote
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