Chief Stipe

Is there a simpler way of saying this? Because I'll admit I don't actually understand what you have written.

FFS @the galah have you recently taken a course in tautology?

Bump. Remember this thread @holy ravioli - how are your predictions looking now?

Not consistently. I don't see him doing it in this edition of The Everest either.

What's percetion? Now my perception is @holy ravioli that your recent surge in posting activity is motivated not by an interest in racing but something else. What would that be? Perhaps we should review some of your predictions vs The Chief Stipes?

As for Nature Strip - didn't you notice the difference with Jamie Kah on in the Lightening? Settled beautifully and didn't fight her at all.

Again you are blinded by Statistics. As I said I thought something was wrong with Verry Elleegant at its last start. On the field position it was in she would normally be throwing her head around. Vets gave the all clear after the run.

But they didn't ask why he left pulling the plugs until so late. Surely the "perception" was as bad for Tim as it was for Ross? In any case if the charge against Tim was proven he would have only got a couple of days off. Ross got 3 months! Actually the charge wasn't tested in Tim's case as it was dropped! What does that do for perception? Isn't consistency paramount?

Yep the message is simple. Ross should now put Tim Williams in the cart as the latter doesn't pull the ear plugs until 200m later and gets beaten on the hot favourite. End result for Tim - charges dropped. So much for always putting the punters interests first.

Included in those 30 out rides as @Joe Bloggs concurred he had some shockers which normally he would have put away. I recall Dufficy and Radley making the same observation as I did. I suppose it is a bit like what Hugh Bowman said recently about his own riding. That it has taken him a while to come down from WINX and to get that sharpness back and into the zone. JMac will go through a period where he is in the zone and he may well be entering one of those now. Although I'm not sure he is the best rider for Nature Strip as he doesn't seem to settle for JMac much the same as Verry Elleegant doesn't. As for bad tracks and draws those things have very little effect on the stats as when in form it doesn't worry JMac. Don't get me wrong he is a champion rider and I've been consistent in saying that. However in my opinion often when he hits a flat patch his timing is a fraction off. I recall reading recently where he often rings past Jockey's to discuss his rides - I think one of those is Pumper. Warwick Farm Race 6 Stewards Report: Rebel Rama – began awkwardly, shifted in and made contact with Parachuter. From a wide barrier was then shifted behind runners in the early stages. Passing the 300m, had to be steadied and shifted out to avoid the heels of Daralina Belle (J McDonald) which shifted out when not fully clear. Whilst the Stewards advised J McDonald that he should exercise more care in similar circumstances, the Stewards were satisfied that J McDonald had corrected his mount at the earliest opportunity when realising he was causing interference to Rebel Rama

Puccini beat her in the Avondale Guineas the previous start as well.

I try not too. But there have been recent cases of concerted attempts coupled with trolling. I didn't give a definition. I said "perhaps that is where the term" came from. BTW there are multiple definitions from other sources that align with what I suggested. The point I was making is that from my observation and experience people are more aggressive and opinionated online than they are in person.

The eventual winner followed him around the bend. I thought once you straightened for home and you were in front you had to keep to your line. In my opinion he let the horse keep running out and didn't correct before he realised (shouldn't have been oblivious) there was a horse outside him with an overlap. When he corrected the horse it responded immediately. Can't blame the horse it did exactly what the Jockey asked it to do.

Odds on they will get rain. Forecast is for 45mm Thursday, Friday, Saturday. Probability 90-100%

Well I'm glad we all agree about that. Therefore you will agree that JMac like any top Jockey has periods where his strike rate is significantly below his average. I remember @Newmarket commenting last year when the NZ TAB was running specials on JMac and he couldn't fire a shot! For example his current strike rate is 1 win in every 4.5 rides. Yet in September he went 17 rides without a winner. More recently 13 rides without a winner.

Yearning is really well bred!! Rising Romance NZ bred. Won the Royal Stakes in NZ and then went and won the Australian Oaks. Ran a few seconds in big Grp1's in OZ. Won its Maiden at Dargaville!!!! Yearning's full brother sold for $2.5m at the Inglis Easter Sale.

Well done! I hope you got plenty!

LOL. What's it matter anyway - he was too short for you to back!

I'll post the Stewards vision for you when it becomes available.

You see that's where your statistical focus/bias clouds your observational skills. If you bother to search BOAY you will find where I have often lauded JMac. On more than one occasion over recent years myself and other posters have noticed that he goes through flat spots with questionable rides. Then he finds form again and holds it for some time - that's when you can bet with confidence on him. That isn't 'tall poppy' knocking it is just an observation. Yes his strike rate holds up over time but given the class of horse he gets to ride there can be periods with a wide variation.

Not such a good ride in Race 6 though was it?! Though only an R72 race. 20211013WAFR06_V.mp4

Zouzarella Heresy Elusive Express

Got Sneaky Five home in the G3 on Saturday at Caulfield!! 😉

I based my comment on real life experience and observational research. I know a number of individuals who have a much braver online persona than they do in real life. Perhaps that is where the term "Keyboard Warriors" derives from.

Yes that's correct because it was cheaper to get it from there than from NZTR/TABNZ.