Thomass

NO! Black bitch Beth told me she wanted to transition...that's going to be lasered off any day now ...is that cruel??......but good train spotting bazzo Just get on the 'B's today obviously...bazz...Best

Haha...actually NO...but good train spotting.... Now what is your 'secreted' 'tipping' site tipping today? Are yous fellas THAT BAD you don't like TRANSPARENCY?? F me...And here's moi thinking only the RIU did that...

It's ok because the Industry needs pretty faces who don't rock the boat.... ....If she became a legit 'Journo' she'd develop a furrowed brow and wrinkles Yesterday she never looked so good...enjoy

Now Freda... ..if you carry on like that I'm going to have to set my Pig dog, Black bitch Beth onto you...

Actually...that's probably your best piece of attempted humour yet.... Would Steak Pie be more overbet than Mince though? ...or would average less sophisticated Joe align themselves with what they eat best...fatty Mince? But...Oh boy what a Xmas punting extravaganza it's been....Theres SO much uneducated money out there at this time of the year from pissed peeps.... ...I'm drinking Champers 24/7 And in celebration of the Prince Albert/Paisley Park Double I got..at 40/1...you know Black Type form back to inferior Im getting one... ...the Princess is beside herself with exctasy already

Oh yes those! The problem with the likes of social butterflies like Guerin.... ...they want to be 'liked' so they're 'mates' with EVERYONE.... Just as the wee falla at the viaduct ...and Chris Wood...who said "let's move on" And he wonders why PUNTERS have buggered off... ....now you can't blame co host Emily here...everyone does like her and she's so lovely...there will be no rocking of the boat... And of course Guerin's contracted to Ellerslie....so he's definitely not going to be criticising their employees...the Starters Its just more 'back patting ass slapping' Racing Industry participant self congratulating syndrome Its a known Virus

Yes he works for Lincoln Farms as their Media man I believe...similar to Dave McCarthy with Stars.... ....but he has editorial freedom...and the heirachy of both codes hate 'investigative' stuff.... ....which is now non existant except for De Lore.... Just watch Guerin's obsequious nonsense on Weigh In to discover that.... ...where this weeks 'show' reached new lows of racing jingoism sans FACTS

Good to see a fair dinkum Journo like Bazza Lichter are onto it.... ...after reading me...onya Bazz Ellerslie false start fiasco only eight months after similar bungle at Avondale By Barry Lichter • 1 January 2020 The false start debacle at Ellerslie today was not an isolated incident - the exact same thing happened only eight months ago when the judicial committee noted with concern that the starters’ manual was not being followed. Starter Trevor Harrison, who let the City Of Auckland Cup field go at Ellerslie today when Pinmedown was still out the back of the gates, was involved in another bungle at Avondale on April 29. Harrison was only the assistant starter that day when starter Brendan Sargent dispatched the field when one horse, Wilijonmcbride, had not been loaded. After the siren was sounded all horses were pulled up but four did not take part in the re-run. Two trainers scratched their horses and another two were ordered out on veterinary advice, leaving a field of five. Starter Trevor Harrison who has admitted his error.In fining Sargent $1000, chairman Noel McCutcheon said the judicial committee was concerned that Sargent and Harrison were not following section 6.18 of the starters’ manual, which would have avoided the mistake. The clause stipulated that the assistant starter must signal the starter that the final runner had been loaded and all gates were closed so the start could be effected. Steward John Oatham showed the film and said the all clear signal had not been made by Harrison. Sargent said he was confused and thought Wilijonmcbride was the clerk of the course’s horse as it was grey and had red colours. During the inquiry Harrison said he and Sargent were not in the habit of following the starting manual and instead called out “last one coming up.” When the horse was in, the race was started. They had been doing it that way for 15 years, he said. During submissions on penalty, stipendiary steward Matthew Williamson said the mistake was a costly one for the industry, the club and the connections of the four horses scratched. An inquiry into today’s incident at Ellerslie was adjourned, with Harrison stood down for the remaining two races. Harrison has taken the blame for the error and said he simply didn’t see Pinmedown who was behind a clerk of the course’s horse. He said he had also been distracted by two horses rearing up in the stalls.

Oh shoot I thought I could get away with that Chef.... ...just as well you're not into plagerism... However, almost every dog and their mutts would have realised I don't live in Cali Forn eeee eh?

Guerin said he was retiring after this year...maybe this will hasten the retirement?

Too true.... ...and when Harrison said "I thought the horse left behind deserved its chance"... ...he forgot about the others who became instantly disadvantaged with the consequence there were 3 scratchings...not to mention the upset they went through... Maybe he was more matey to the Moroney's than the Latta's seeing as he lives in Mutts?

And good on Guerin for encouraging Harrison's mates to text him or give him a bell... ...nobody wishes him ill will and he'll be feeling like the World is on his shoulders.... Its TOTALLY down to the 'Suits' like Godber and Oatham who allowed these 'protocols' to be IGNORED.... Let's point out as well that the STARTERS MANUALfalls under the POLICY schedule... Its not a 'Guideline' but a carefully constructed document that almost always avoids total f ups if followed.... NZTR/RIU need to take responsibility for this....own it ffs.... Dont just fob it off and tell us the Clubs employ Starters and it's their fault... NZTR/RIU are the organisations who're RESPONSIBLE for the SAFETY of all Horse flesh and Human alike... And for MAINTAINING the INTEGRITY of the Thoroughbred product.... NOT allowing the Industry to be mocked and pilloried...as happened on One Nitwit News https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/sport/other/shambolic-scenes-undermine-start-new-year-racing-in-ellerslie

Interesting how 'overbet' some neddys become due to unforeseen circumstances... Similar to 'Who Shot the Barman' always had a following from Dad joke followers Several years back, I tested a theory that horses with popular boys or girls names were overbet in parimutuel markets. My hunch was that the betting public is more likely to bet on a horse if that horse's name contained their own name (or that of their wife, son, daughter, etc.). I arrived at that hunch by extrapolating from a sample size of one - me.What I found in that original analysis, using a limited dataset of races run in California, was weak evidence for my theory, but that fell short of statistical significance. However, I now have a much more robust dataset, consisting of nearly all races run in North America over the past four years.With this new dataset of some 200,000 races, I ran a logistic regression on the probability of a horse winning a race using the following variables: logodds: the logarithm of the horses betting odds, adjusted for the track take boysname: a binary variable indicating whether the horse's name contains one of the top 100 boys names over the past 100 years girlsname: a binary variable indicating whether the horse's name contains one of the top 100 girls names over the past 100 years Here is the R output: Under a perfectly efficient market, the first two terms (intercept and logodds) would be 0 and -1 respectively, The fact that they aren't are a reflection of the favorite longshot bias, in which favorites are underbet relative to their true odds and long shots are overbet. The next term, boysname, is statistically significant, and directionally indicates that boys names are overbet. As an example, assume a horse's odds imply a win probability of 20%. If the horse's name does not contain a boys name, the true probability is 20.5% according to the favorite longshot bias correction of the first two terms. But if the horse contains a boy's name, then the true probability drops to 19.6%. So, it turns out my original hunch was on the mark, at least for boys names. Girls' names however fall short of statistical significance, although the coefficient indicates possible overbetting, but not to the extent with boys' names. So, if you're betting the races at Churchill Downs today, you may want to avoid bets on Dan the Go To Man, Dragon Drew, Shane Zain, or My Boy Jack.

So what an absolute DISGRACE yesterday's DEBACLE was.... ...yet entirely predictable as evidenced by last year's starter's anus horibilis So start the New Year as you mean to go on starting boys...yee ahhh Let's start with the obsequious Racing Media shall we...and Mick I'm employed by the ARC and TAB but I'm independent Guerin... Writes this in the Herald... "I just didn't see the horse (Pinmedown). "I was distracted by another couple of horses who were raring up and at the same time the hood came off Pinmedown (making her harder to see) and she was right behind one of the clerk of the course horses and I didn't see her so thought she was in the gates. I then called a false start when I realised what had happened because I thought she deserved the chance to be in the race. "I feel bloody terrible about it, I don't know what else to say." Harrison, who is tremendously respected in the industry, stood himself down for the remaining two races and stewards have opened an inquiry into the incident." TOTAL UTTER BULLSHIT Either Guerin's deaf or Harrison's lying... The red hood NEVER came off... So to the 'false start' he called...did ANYONE hear a siren or flashing red light at the red light station box...some 100M from the start or did the Jockeys hear Innes complaining he was giving up and they just decided to amongst themselves? Yep So to the 'Starter's Manual'...actioned by the great Cammo George because he got totally pissed off with the amount of UNPROFESSIONALISM wrt Starters Now this also happened last April when Assistant Starter Sargent and Starter Harrison ADMITTED they don't follow the 'Starter's Manual "Mr Harrison confirmed that there was not a call from him and explained that he and Mr Sargent do not follow the Starting Manual. He said that they as the Starter say “Last one coming in” and once in the Race is started. He said that they have been doing it that way for 15 years. He said that it was a costly mistake." And again yesterday... If they'd followed the MANUAL this would NEVER have happened The Manual... 6.18 Assistant Starter Prior to the Jump The Assistant Starter shall signal to the Starter that the final runner has been loaded, all gates are closed and a start may be effected. Sargent can be seen holding his hand out to PINMEDOWN whereby an attendant then rushes over readying to take the red ear hood off.... So when Sargent's standing by PINMEDOWN Starter Harrison then lets the field go... WITHOUT RECIEVING clearance from the assistant as required by the Manual... Why would Sargent signal to Harrison "all loaded" when's he's standing by the unloaded runner? EXACTLY...this appalling f up would NEVER have happened if the Manual had have been followed... END OF Now the blame As soon as Harrison admitted they don't follow the Starters Manual the RIU should have stepped in...and NZTR's Integrity Committee mobilised to INSIST the Manual was followed.... But guess what? Its the Clubs who employee the Starters...in the North...NORTHERN RACE DAY SERVICES... A disgraceful outfit who're a law amongst themselves...because their Starters know best...and f the Manual NZTR were warned the RIU needed to employ these cowboys...to straighten their long list of f ups out...but they IGNORED them The very reason last April was REPEATED once again UTTER INCOMPETENCE

Other UNSELFISH Punters would willingly accept a deduction when their fellow Punters have been fleeced ...BEFORE a Jock even hops aboard... Ignorant selfish 'punters' such as you don't give a shit....we already know that

This thread's about the HOPELESS RIU's laissez fairy attitude towards policing basic INTEGRITY 101 shit.... Jockeys are so relaxed and ignorant of the rules here... ...they think nothing of using their devices in the Birdcage while on International Telly.... Other jurisdiction's Punters are laughing their collective heads off at our.... INTEGRITY FAIL... Go away and have another 'arf

You're you're as stupid as he is... She can't have been begging to go either....she had the time to gather all of her gear...go to the scales and WEIGH OUT... ...then take a dump/ wee wee As soon as she takes the dump....PUNTERS were screwed Nothing else comes even close to being PUNTERS getting SCREWED in the process of ANYTHING Stipes Murrihy and Bailey knew there had to be a rule change to allow punters refunds to SAVE THE INDUSTRY from further embarrassing Jockey cock ups... ...but the Industry doesn't give a toss and shuffled it further under the carpet... Just like NZTR does beautifully...

Somehow Methinks you missed the 'neuroscience' segment of Cop the f on 101... subsection 'understand and advance collective understanding' Believe me when I say there's ABSOLUTELY NO correlation between drugs while riding and driving 5 km's over the speed limit... Ones 'revenue gathering' 101...the other saving Jockeys from drug addled Meff outriders... wtf up

Sure Mooner... Just follow the BP!!! Simply OUTSTANDING day yesterday...hope you got onto the "fresh legs, less convictions, superior form back to inferior" narrative... E.g....ARTISTE....Course specialist!!! THE PRECIOUS ONE....PRETTY TO SEA

Yep...especially the nut bar Drugs you're on... Bridget Grylls must have known the Jockey she was warning would have had Drugs in their system Putting her fellow Jockeys at risk....disgraceful

Interesting they had a "wire fence" in a Stallion paddock?? Maybe it was a temporary transitional one.. Wire and Stallions simply do not mix...

You ARGUMENTATIVE?? Nooooooo, I won't have it.... BTW...pretty average get for CONSENSUS..whose idea to Gavelhouse her? The BEST Aussie Broodmare sale would have got 200k more Shirley?

Oh cmon Freda... You simply can't beat an ad for Thai Lady Boys all Knobbed up

If The rat bastards have set one up to cop 5kms over in a zone where everyone's on Hols....like Tamaki Drive...where the RAT BASTARDS got moi... then yes....flash away... warning other drugged Jockeys...TOTALLY stupid example....

Wtf? So FIVE Jockeys were fined yesterday at HQ for being FAT on Turkey....or they forgot to buy the non fat Custard option at the Dairy.... TOTALLY UNPROFESSIONAL behaviour...never heard the like It's Xmas Stuffing of Punters that's the problem....not to mention connections... Nobody said it's an easy profession but this is seriously UNPROFESSIONAL What is it with the Jockey cabal these days?? ....using cell phones in the Birdcage with gay abandon... ....discussing race tactics with other Jockeys..."Im not leading today..you can have it UNCONTESTED" And now this...who knows what they get up to at their poker schools Heres the list of SHAME BOSSON...McNAB...TROY HARRIS...LAMMAS...INNES