FeelTheFear

https://www.scienceabc.com/nature/animals/do-bulls-really-hate-red-colour-blind.html

Bulls are colour blind for red and green. It is the movement of the cape that sets them off.

It's a distraction, like Mr T(roll)'s Princess or his BP

yep, not illegal knowing what a jockey will do. I have been given many tips over the years from inside the stables, would have lost most of my money. I trust my own advantage, assessment.

I see he has replied to me no doubt. He still can't get that I don't read his bullshit, have him blocked. Very slow on the uptake these common trolls

Yes he is a direct female line descendant of Somethingroyal in the 7th generation. The only line that carries the MtDNA (Mitochondrial DNA) all the way to Spirits Aubeer.

I hear that he is campaigning to get trainers to acknowledge how long before a race that a horse had a crap, how much it weighed and what colour it was. Is this true? He talks a lot of crap so perhaps so

As I said before, inside information doesn't worry me. I rely on my own information/analysis. If someone has inside info good on them. It is a different thing to pull a horse or not try or to cheat. If a jockey manager is involved in this then it comes under the rules of racing just like anyone else. If they are doing that, then they will be hiding their betting so doesn't matter whether banned or not. Using inside info is not illegal. Cheating is. If they decide to run a horse differently than it usually runs then it is up to the stewards to investigate. Banning won't stop this either, trainers will still do it and it is not illegal to profit from inside info. If a jockey manager backs another horse rather than their jockey's ride, then if picked up I am sure it will be investigated. After all, the integrity unit will step up surely. If not, then it becomes a systemic problem with officials not doing their job. Inside info. is a distraction.

It won't matter whether they ban them or not. It will still happen. Don't really care who has inside information as long as races are run fairly. The horse doesn't know.

I'm starting to think Mr T is one of the Lizard people (Reptilians).

Stupid is too easy an answer. Willfully ignorant more likely or deliberate troll.

Don't worry mardigras, it's a wonder he can tie his own shoelaces let alone comprehend something beyond the level of a 5yo.

post of the day

Bella Margarita won

I found that having a rating system, I could expect a high percentage of winners from the top 3 and sometimes a big winner from the 4th or 5th horse. I then had the problem of which do I back? If I take the first two, I have a good strike rate but miss winners from the 3rd to 5th. Many winners were short odds with others in the medium range ($5-$10) and every now and then one with huge odds. Then along came the Terrible Trio and threw some advice our way. With pricing a market according to perceived chance, I eliminate the need to choose based upon rating but choose based on value. If the majority of winners come from my first five, it makes sense to back those of value. I like to price and look at those at value that have a better chance to win, that is single odds. I have extended this to all runners assessed at single digit odds, not just the first 5. That means I have a better strike rate but at value. I find it difficult to wait too long before a winner comes along. Here is an example from the past, I have rated the field and show the assessed single digit market and market available. Hope this makes sense. Once again, an ongoing thought process Race Info: Tauherenikau 2050m 17 May 2018 Mdn Hwt Slow Horse Rating Market Assessed Market Avail. Bella Margarita 116 $8.71 $13.70 Bet Donardo 116 $8.71 $5.40 Bastille Babe 90 $11.15 $6.10 Platinum Edition 90 $11.15 $3.20 Our Jackson 126 $7.98 $5.10 Banteneighty 83 $12.12 $38.00 Billy Paco 140 $7.19 $10.10 Bet Triumph 122 $8.29 $12.20 Bet Her Son 125 $8.08 $17.30 Bet

If I expected a horse to win then surely I would have it assessed at short odds, say $1.20, allowing for variability like jockey falling off or getting blocked etc. The rest of the field would be at long odds. If I found that there were 5 strong chances in the race, then my assessment would reflect that. How do I sort out which will win? If I think number one will win, then it's price assessment will once again be lower. If it has a similar chance as others, then it will be higher odds bases upon each horses assessed chances. Just thinking out loud...note I threw in the word assessment and assessed many times to appear I know what I am writing about. .

First and third. Glide Queen I had rated equal 4th

Brantford has come in from $17/18 to $9.00 Bet Easy FO

Sassanach has come in from $9.50 to $6.50 Bet Easy FO.

Hard one to rate but looking at my assessment Not Santa is on top but too short for mine. Two for value, Floral Belt and Sassanach. If I was to have a bet Sassanach would be the one

Top Assessed Trainers (Current) J Richards (Total Excess) N Tiley (Spirits Aubeer) T Pike (Surely Sacred) James & Wellwood (Hypnos) O'Sullivan & Scott (Musical Blues) Think I will just assess trainers from now on

Genius Hedley

Number 1, don't take any notice of Mr T. Number 2, don't take any notice of Mr T.

Race 7 Ellerslie. Hard to get value on my market but Bella Court in my top 3 I have at $10.95 and currently $15 Bet Easy FO. Swisswatch and Monrecour in top 3 but no value. Therefore Bella Court the bet. Wide draw but top rider.

Final revised market on dead track conditions Bocce $34.49 Star Performance $10.60 Masetto $11.83 Total Excess $6.27 Spirits Aubeer $27.53 Cavallo Veloce $18.52 Hypnos $15.79 Cantstopthefeeling $12.46 Langkawi $9.40 Quizmaster $25.81 Roll The Dice $7.22 Surely Sacred $8.70