curious

81% of over 16s fully vaccinated.

89% first dose. 30,000 cases a day and 200 deaths a day. Both rising. Don't think it's working.

Don't think there are any Novavax clinical triallists in NZ so not really a relevant issue. It will either be approved by Medsafe for use here or not. I'm hanging out for it myself.

It's more to reinstate it than boost it I think. Vaccinating children if more are likely to die from the vax than from Covid just doesn't make sense, especially if it's only for a few months protection.

I think the FDA have softened a bit in approving for use in over 65s and vulnerable after originally completely rejecting the booster vax application completely. That seems to be because the higher death rate from Covid in that group makes the risk benefit from the death risk of the vaccine more positive than it is for other groups.

https://theexpose.uk/2021/09/20/fda-experts-covid-vaccines-killing-people-beating-twitter-censorship/

The plan is there. Don't think Brian looked very hard before he went off, though the label is a bit confusing to be fair. A critique of that plan might have been more constructive than the above. https://loveracing.nz/OnHorseFiles/NZTR Statement of Intent and Business Plan 2021-24.pdf

Report of the NZPC 2021.pdf

These 2 will be gone if they don't meet the ratings standard in the current season. 5.10 Warnings Issued G2 Championship Stakes Auckland RC G2 Coupland Bakeries Mile Canterbury RC

3. The NZPC discussed the current 2yo programme at length and agreed that a sub-committee be formed to examine it and make recommendations to NZTR on any potential changes.

The aim is 5% in a pyramid structure. Lost races due to Covid complicated matters there a bit last year. Given a decline in the number of lower level races run over the last two seasons, the Pattern race percentage will be over 6%. Every country has unique aspects to its racing structure. The NZPC acknowledges that NZ has very few non-tote races and a large number of competitive trials relative to most other jurisdictions. While each NZ Pattern race justifies its status with respect to the APC Ground Rules, the NZPC views the percentage of Pattern races as unacceptably high if confidence in the integrity of NZ black type is to be maintained. Further, the NZPC is concerned that it is constrained from promoting worthy races due to an excessive number of existing Pattern races and that this may lead to a calcification of the Pattern.

There WERE downgrades this year, including the Auckland Cup. 5.2 Downgrades Auckland RC, Auckland Cup - from G1 to G2 – This race has been saved in recent years by the APC distance race downgrade moratorium. As has been the case for a number of years, the race failed to meet its 112 threshold with an outcome of 110.0. This follows earlier ratings of 108.75, 108.75 and 107.75. The NZPC agreed that the race should be downgraded to Group 2 as it continued to perform well below the requirement for a Group 1 race and would be unable to keep its status with the forthcoming expiry of the downgrade moratorium. The NZPC recommended that the race keep its prizemoney, that it revert to being a handicap and that it be given “Heritage 1” status in the event that NZTR supports a heritage handicap structure. Auckland RC, Easter Handicap – from G2 to G3 - This race was under a Warning prior not being run in the 2019/20 season and again failed to achieve the minimum tolerance level by some distance. The 100.5 that the race rated during the 2020/21 season was well below the 107 required by a Group 2 race. The Committee agreed that the race should be downgraded but recommended that it be given “Heritage” status as a handicap and retain its prizemoney in the event that NZTR supports a heritage handicap structure. Racing Rotorua, Rotorua Cup – from G3 to L - This race was under a Warning prior to not being run in the 2019/20 season. The rating of 99.5 was again below the 102 threshold. It was agreed that the race would be downgraded to Listed and that it may be best placed as a heritage handicap with unchanged prizemoney in the event that NZTR supports a heritage handicap structure.

A few historically significant races pointed towards downgrade.

What happened? https://www.bitchute.com/video/Gav0O0CHbwR9/

https://nzdsos.com/2021/09/19/an-open-letter-to-the-government-from-an-award-winning-new-zealander/

Wasn't good for the hayfever either.

Outside of industry days there are 2 R65 sprints up to 1200m programmed in the CD between mid-September and mid-November, so don't think they have it quite right for tiered racing up here either.

Mmmm.. That sounds very discriminatory to me. I have a long track record as an advocate for childrens' rights but those can not come by diminishing the rights of other groups including other age groups. Give yourself an uppercut for that comment.

Yes, that's correct. Don't think there is any data broken down by month or quarter and the 20/21 data is still not out. Can only go by what the coroner said in that report.

Quick re-visit of that. Appears suicides were down in young people as well though the figure for 10-14s not given. CHIEF CORONER RELEASES ANNUAL PROVISIONAL SUICIDE FIGURES Chief Coroner Judge Deborah Marshall today released the annual provisional suicide statistics, which show the provisional suicide rate is at its lowest in three years. In the year to 30 June 2020, 654 people died by suicide, compared to 685 the year before – a decrease of 31 deaths, and a drop in the suicide rate from 13.93 deaths per 100,000 to 13.01. “While it is encouraging to see the suspected suicide rate and number drop for the past year, it’s important to remember that there are still more than 650 families who have lost someone in tragic circumstances,” Chief Coroner Judge Deborah Marshall says. “My sincere condolences to the families and friends of those who died by suspected suicide in the past year.” There was a decrease in the number of young people dying by suspected suicide, particularly in the 15-19 age range (down from 73 to 59) and the 20-24 age range (down from 91 to 60). Both rates decreased from 23.14 to 18.69 and from 26.87 to 17.77 respectively. However, there was an increase in suspected suicides in the 80-84 age range, with 12 more people dying by suicide in the past year (18) than the year before (6). The rate increased from 6.49 to 19.48. The Māori and Pacific Island suspected suicide rates both decreased over the past year, from 21.78 to 20.24 and from 8.91 to 7.07 respectively. The European rate also dropped from 13.02 to 12.08. However, the Asian rate went up from 5.09 to 7.91 – an increase of 20 deaths. “Throughout this year there has been unhelpful and irresponsible public commentary on the effect COVID-19 would have on the suicide rate,” Judge Marshall says. “During the first lockdown period I said it was unhelpful to release figures for such a short time frame, as it is nearly impossible to draw sound conclusions, nor do I believe such public discourse is helpful to people in distress. “I’m encouraged by the work the Suicide Prevention Office has started and for the reliable, strong and hope-filled voice that director Carla na Nagara has added to the wider public discourse.”

Yes although the data on completed suicides in 2020 was significantly down during Covid and stayed down after. Those are presumably not included in thae above since it was hospital discharges. Also, I haven't seen an age breakdown of completed suicides, so that may have been different for 10-14yos.

The letter in the headpost does not define what they mean by parasuicide. However, they say the study was based on ICD discharge codes E950-E958. Not clear if that is what they are meaning by parasuicide but those codes include successful, unsuccessful suicide attempts as well as other self-harm events.

This does appear to be a bit of a shift in that direction. Hopefully the Mangatangi area outbreak proves to be isolated and contained there and we may be ok.

And if you are over 65 you stay imprisoned at home if you don't want to get vaccinated ... hmmm.

Yes. The domestic wagering revenue is already way negative at current stakes levels.