holy ravioli Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 now down to $13 NZ TAB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doomed Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 7 hours ago, holy ravioli said: The horse doesn't know what its paying. There are so many variables to consider and often luck is the decisive factor. Pricing horses is usually done by strict form analysis..i.e what is known about performance. Why did Romancer pay $124.50 to win early this year? Interesting you should mention Romancer, I backed it. Wouldn't have touched it at 5s, but at $124 I thought there was a bit of overs there. I also got Chat when she won at Kembla at 50s a couple of months ago. Once again I wouldn't have touched her at 5s. You will never make money punting taking unders. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Stipe Posted October 28, 2021 Author Share Posted October 28, 2021 18 minutes ago, holy ravioli said: now down to $13 NZ TAB. I must have a following. AUD$17's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, Doomed said: Interesting you should mention Romancer, I backed it. Wouldn't have touched it at 5s, but at $124 I thought there was a bit of overs there. I also got Chat when she won at Kembla at 50s a couple of months ago. Once again I wouldn't have touched her at 5s. You will never make money punting taking unders. ' but at $124 I thought there was a bit of overs there.'..just a BIT...Lol. Chat was overs after her run behind Phoebeter beating Fasika...and as far as unders goes...generally you won't win with hot favs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomates Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 34 minutes ago, holy ravioli said: and as far as unders goes...generally you won't win with hot favs. Not the way they ride them in NZ . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 43 minutes ago, Chief Stipe said: I must have a following. AUD$17's. probably...Jack Fagan had a following too....it was...a dog. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 23 hours ago, holy ravioli said: now down to $13 NZ TAB. now down to $11 TAB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 Warming to Ameralinha now,-will include. The track and the draw have swayed me. Still $3.80 a place. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomates Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 hour ago, holy ravioli said: Warming to Ameralinha now,-will include. The track and the draw have swayed me. Still $3.80 a place. I think she will stretch out once the Aus punters start . 12's last time i looked . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Stipe Posted October 30, 2021 Author Share Posted October 30, 2021 3 hours ago, holy ravioli said: Warming to Ameralinha now,-will include. The track and the draw have swayed me. Still $3.80 a place. You're a follower of fashion! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Chief Stipe said: You're a follower of fashion! The draw at the 1600m and her ability to run on the pace swayed me.Alot of the main dangers will need some luck .Tofane,supposedly a weight special has drawn 2,Colette 8. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 Last!? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Stipe Posted October 30, 2021 Author Share Posted October 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, holy ravioli said: Last!? The moment you starting picking her I knew she was stuffed. That said I'd say something is not right with her. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 Just now, Chief Stipe said: The moment you starting picking her I knew she was stuffed. That said I'd say something is not right with her. So did you get better than 19's!.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Stipe Posted October 30, 2021 Author Share Posted October 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, holy ravioli said: So did you get better than 19's!.... Didn't back her. Certainly not at 10's. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomates Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 There's a problem somewhere , if not then she has not really come up but i would think they would have seen something . Sometimes fillies , especially the good 3yo's , just don't come up as 4yo's for whatever reason . She hasn't even been racing 12 months . Maybe her body is just not coping and needs more time . I remember Mick Preston had a very good filly many years ago called Lady Primrose , i think , was one of the better 3yo fillies , anyway just never came up as a 4yo , and he said it happens , you just have to be patient , give them time out and they often come back as older mares and perform very well . 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 Just now, nomates said: There's a problem somewhere , if not then she has not really come up but i would think they would have seen something . Sometimes fillies , especially the good 3yo's , just don't come up as 4yo's for whatever reason . She hasn't even been racing 12 months . Maybe her body is just not coping and needs more time . I remember Mick Preston had a very good filly many years ago called Lady Primrose , i think , was one of the better 3yo fillies , anyway just never came up as a 4yo , and he said it happens , you just have to be patient , give them time out and they often come back as older mares and perform very well . Many examples of what you say...when she didn't jump into a handy position,I was surprised.I bet exotics mainly...no big loss.Colette has a rep as a mudder...nice ride all the same. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomates Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 Just now, Chief Stipe said: Didn't back her. Certainly not at 10's. I don't understand what 10's has to do with it , if you think it can win , which i did , you back it at the best price you can get , if it wins and you haven't backed it then there is only one loser . I pick the horse i think can win a race then i look for the best price i can get , even if that means i'm sitting by my computer till right on start time . I'd be more pissed if it won and i didn't back it because i thought it should be longer . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomates Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 Just now, holy ravioli said: .Colette Just a bloody classy horse , get her a long way . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Stipe Posted October 30, 2021 Author Share Posted October 30, 2021 5 hours ago, nomates said: I don't understand what 10's has to do with it , if you think it can win , which i did , you back it at the best price you can get , if it wins and you haven't backed it then there is only one loser . Call it my peculiar little system. I didn't see 10's as value in the end. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huey Posted October 31, 2021 Share Posted October 31, 2021 Anyone like a few of the lighter weights ? Star of Tralee, Floating Artist or Great House? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Another honest run from this mare ..today...you are a good judge..Chief...great to see JMac rode Coolangatta o.k...got it to ..setlle!😁 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Stipe Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, holy ravioli said: Another honest run from this mare ..today...you are a good judge..Chief...great to see JMac rode Coolangatta o.k...got it to ..setlle!😁 Once again you show you have no idea on a wide range of subjects. Well most things actually. When can we expect your next erudite posting? Bit like your Labour Government all promises and no delivery. Such is your socialist manifesto. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holy ravioli Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chief Stipe said: Once again you show you have no idea on a wide range of subjects. Well most things actually. When can we expect your next erudite posting? Bit like your Labour Government all promises and no delivery. Such is your socialist manifesto. Do behave Chief Spite...non sequitors are the refuge of the....desperate.😀 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 On 30/10/2021 at 5:26 PM, nomates said: I pick the horse i think can win a race then i look for the best price i can get , even if that means i'm sitting by my computer till right on start time . Probably the opposite to what I do. Don't necessarily back the horse I think most likely to win, rather the ones that I think are priced greater than what I rate their chance of winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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