
Nowornever
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Everything posted by Nowornever
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Well the thing is how long do you keep funding a business that is continuously losing money. Do you just run it into the ground until all the assets are gone? That seems to be the route they are taking at the moment.
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Yes I think I will go with Methven, Banks Peninsular and Ashburton.
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Sounds like exactly what completely rooted the TAB with previous NZ Post employees running the show for a few years getting a fat salary but making the stupid decisions that started the decline into what we have today.
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It’s not a slight on the talent in the north—just a simple preference for the kind of races that make for a good bet. So nothing personal, and nothing against Barry (legend, by the way). I just like a bit more meat on the bone than a 1.20 winner at Auckland. They can race as much as they like in those 5 and six horse fields but they will not get my money and by the look of the pools on those events not many other people are liking them either.
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100% correct.
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Hang on Betcha Ben is saying a horse is paying $27 and is a 185K liability. The odds have hardly changed and I am calling bullshit on that one as well... That is not how market operate. If there really was a 185K liability the price would be sub $2.00 unless they are laying it liability off on other markets!
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These idiots are even quoting Betcha exotic dividends when reviewing races. Were raving about the first four Betcha dividend of $3501 in race five at Oamaru when the TAB tote dividend for the same thing was $4824. For exotics bets BETCHA IS SHIT COMPARED TO TOTE !!!!!
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$70 for the Fate Awaits - Arcee Phoenix - Leap To Fame Multi at the time i said this.
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👀 $18,000 on Zarlini at $4.50! Did they get the wrong race? Surely they didn't really want to put that much on Zarlini 🤦♂️ They have got bigger balls than me. I wouldn't have risked $10 on that horse from that draw!
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Half the battle in picking winners is picking what the driver is going to do. Race 2 Winton was a perfect point. Interesting that the driver who normally leads at all costs and is well known to whip a horse to get there was content to sit parked when in any other race she would be straight to the front and hard to run down. One of the reasons I do not bet in races where there are a number of stablemates running. It is hard to know who is trying and who is not.
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If you have money in your account you are likely not going to get many deposit matches. If your account is empty after a period of time they will encourage you to top it up and use it again by giving you a deposit match. Don't make any money with the bonus cash though they will restrict your account pretty quick and stop giving you free money if you turn a profit too often with their free money.
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Yes I spotted a couple of real shockers from some repeat serial offenders who shall remain nameless but have been upgraded to my list of drivers who wouldn't get room in a one horse field.
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Still something funny going on with the TAB algorithms. Some real movers happening in the last 5mins. If you are lucky you can get nearly double the closing dividend in the last five minutes on some runners. When the money goes on a favourite the others drift big time before coming in again in the last few minutes. I had a couple of decent multis teed up ready to run to the tote but Tim Williams has ruined my plans on the biggest of them. I took Vesta at 12 dollars but you could have gotten 26 in the last few minutes so was a bit worried about the drift, was expecting it to get in to about 7 or 8 dollars. Don't you hate it when your horse never gets a run and in doing so ruins the dividend for next time. Not sure he was trying that hard or got out driven, either way it was robbed.
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Don't forget Chmiel, both their records on the telfer runners are terrible.
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I thought BD Joe up with the best of them but see if you can spot an issue with his last 8 starts and it is a common theme with their runners 12th J Dickie Last all the way never put in the race 11th J Dickie Unlucky no room bolting would have gone close with any gaps 7th T Chmiel Last all the way ran home in straight 8th T Chmiel Sat back made up 10 length in run home 53.2 800m 8th T M Williams NZ Cup ran on but no chance not many made ground Swayzee winner 3rd T M Williams 1x1 ran on well 13th T Chmiel trailed then ran into the back of the winner and broke losing 50m. Ran home well 1st T M Williams sat 1x1 then around to front bell very easy win.
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Throwing a few million at consultants for no return is the norm these days in big business isn't it?
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Northern ones going no good and have been driven parked out most of the time. Hard to win doing that but still pay nothing. Been doing alright backing against the Northern ones. Southern ones go huge at times but the ones that have been winning getting up in grades now. Maybe the switch has been turned off again When they get in that winning mode they are hard to stop.
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Build something with a big final turn and 400m straight.
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Well those 2% could be doing 20% of the turnover hard to say. Their marketing vs their actual inhouse policies are quite contradictory
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Remember only 2% of their customers can generate a profit and those are the ones they are cutting out. Since the rise of social media they get a bit more heat for doing so now, but can not see them changing their position on it. Lots of backlash for the geo blocking bill as well.
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Losing punters get preferential treatment. Always have and always will.
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Four Wise Women opening $4.60 and out to 31.00 WTF is that all about. Yes the trial was ok but that was against horses who would be 101 or above in this field. Was always going to be double figures closing. Wow can not wait for the grass track racing..
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There is either no money in the pools and a couple of hundred dollars can massively shift the market or they are getting hit all over the place and are plugging holes. I have never seen anything like it tonight with the market moves.