Nowornever

Lol

Half the battle in picking winners is picking what the driver is going to do. Race 2 Winton was a perfect point. Interesting that the driver who normally leads at all costs and is well known to whip a horse to get there was content to sit parked when in any other race she would be straight to the front and hard to run down. One of the reasons I do not bet in races where there are a number of stablemates running. It is hard to know who is trying and who is not.

If you have money in your account you are likely not going to get many deposit matches. If your account is empty after a period of time they will encourage you to top it up and use it again by giving you a deposit match. Don't make any money with the bonus cash though they will restrict your account pretty quick and stop giving you free money if you turn a profit too often with their free money.

Yes I spotted a couple of real shockers from some repeat serial offenders who shall remain nameless but have been upgraded to my list of drivers who wouldn't get room in a one horse field.

Still something funny going on with the TAB algorithms. Some real movers happening in the last 5mins. If you are lucky you can get nearly double the closing dividend in the last five minutes on some runners. When the money goes on a favourite the others drift big time before coming in again in the last few minutes. I had a couple of decent multis teed up ready to run to the tote but Tim Williams has ruined my plans on the biggest of them. I took Vesta at 12 dollars but you could have gotten 26 in the last few minutes so was a bit worried about the drift, was expecting it to get in to about 7 or 8 dollars. Don't you hate it when your horse never gets a run and in doing so ruins the dividend for next time. Not sure he was trying that hard or got out driven, either way it was robbed.

Don't forget Chmiel, both their records on the telfer runners are terrible.

I thought BD Joe up with the best of them but see if you can spot an issue with his last 8 starts and it is a common theme with their runners 12th J Dickie Last all the way never put in the race 11th J Dickie Unlucky no room bolting would have gone close with any gaps 7th T Chmiel Last all the way ran home in straight 8th T Chmiel Sat back made up 10 length in run home 53.2 800m 8th T M Williams NZ Cup ran on but no chance not many made ground Swayzee winner 3rd T M Williams 1x1 ran on well 13th T Chmiel trailed then ran into the back of the winner and broke losing 50m. Ran home well 1st T M Williams sat 1x1 then around to front bell very easy win.

Throwing a few million at consultants for no return is the norm these days in big business isn't it?

Northern ones going no good and have been driven parked out most of the time. Hard to win doing that but still pay nothing. Been doing alright backing against the Northern ones. Southern ones go huge at times but the ones that have been winning getting up in grades now. Maybe the switch has been turned off again When they get in that winning mode they are hard to stop.

Build something with a big final turn and 400m straight.

Well those 2% could be doing 20% of the turnover hard to say. Their marketing vs their actual inhouse policies are quite contradictory

Remember only 2% of their customers can generate a profit and those are the ones they are cutting out. Since the rise of social media they get a bit more heat for doing so now, but can not see them changing their position on it. Lots of backlash for the geo blocking bill as well.

Losing punters get preferential treatment. Always have and always will.

Four Wise Women opening $4.60 and out to 31.00 WTF is that all about. Yes the trial was ok but that was against horses who would be 101 or above in this field. Was always going to be double figures closing. Wow can not wait for the grass track racing..

the above example was race 9 but race 8 was just as bad.

There is either no money in the pools and a couple of hundred dollars can massively shift the market or they are getting hit all over the place and are plugging holes. I have never seen anything like it tonight with the market moves.

Yes some of the opening prices lately have been ridiculous. Got to be Aussies or computer doing the pricing. They are so bad that if I could get away with it, I think I could make a decent living betting early and cashing out for a profit when the price drops.

If only they were all driving in a 13 horse field. Might be tempted to have a bet.

Thought you would enjoy that. Welcome to the world of AI

I laid out a track for ya Brodie hope you like it. I call it Betting On The Underdog! Copyright Nowornever 👍 Betting on the Underdog.mp3

Bosses probably all getting big pay increases when the money comes through. That is what usually happens.

I prefer the good old days... 18 horse fields and mainly standing starts lol

Big businesses prioritize the interest of shareholders unfortunately and that revolves around maximizing profit. Banks are a prime example. They could choose to not make as much money as they do, but instead choose to screw over customers in the pursuit of more profits.

Word on the street is the yield is trending down for harness currently.

Yes thats how they used to do it but the UK style of risk management that has slowly crept in over the years is slash anyone that looks like they can beat you. One of my mates who just shifted to Australia this year opened an account with Ladbrokes when he got over there and not long after put 50EW on a horse at New Plymouth he got told to back. It won and paid $18 and the day after he took his money out he just got an email saying they were closing his account. Thing is he a hopeless punter and would have given that back 10 fold if they let him keep going. He was just unlucky he got lucky just after opening his account. Or his mistake was taking the money out not sure what was the trigger for the account closure. I believe it has the opposite effect they are going for and has dramatically reduced turnover to the point they are now offering every tom dick and harry bonus bets to entice them to spend up. That is a spiraling downward trend over time. Because most punters have a good collect every now and then but if you keep restricting anyone who has good collect you end up restricting everyone. Pretty sure that will happen here sooner than later. Blanket restrictions and bans.