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The other 'thing' is one has to know what is 'normal' for every horse, which really is only going to be known with the better performed horses that are seen regularly. Many a time good horses have scratchy preliminaries but gallop fluently once racing.

I doubt the bookies would have birdcage watchers. However there does seem a considerable reaction by punters to the paddock. Go back 20 years and there was virtually no comment or importance placed on paddock tips. It even took the million dollar betting syndicates in Hong Kong quite sometime and testing before they accepted paddock information into their pricing.

With back testing say 2 years you will always come up with a system/strategy that has been successful. If testing a particular strategy is showing big loss most people quickly forget about it. Just because something has been successful over the past 2 years does not mean it will successful over the next 2. Thats the problem most people don't realize. Far better to have a sound strategy and do testing to make slight improvements.

What 2025 Magic Millions 2YO Classic Where Gold Coast Turf Club – Gold Coast, Queensland When Saturday, January 11, 2025 Prizemoney $3,000,000 Distance 1200m Conditions Restricted Listed 2024 winner Storm Boy (9) | T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | J: Adam Hyeronimus (57kg) Visit Dabble The Magic Millions 2YO Classic will headline the 10-race card at the Gold Coast Turf Club this Saturday afternoon, with a full field of 16 expected to contest the $3 million feature. There is substantial rain forecast on each of the days leading up to Saturday’s meeting, which will keep the track in the Soft range after being rated as a Soft 5 on Wednesday. Due to the ongoing turf renovations at the Gold Coast, Eagle Farm has been placed on standby to hold the massive Magic Millions meeting should the new turf not be suitable for racing. 2025 Magic Millions 2YO Classic odds Horse racing bookmakers have opened their Magic Millions 2YO Classic market with only six runners marked under $10. The Lloyd Kennewell & Lucy Yeomans-trained Invincible Woman leads the betting at $5, slightly ahead of Gallo Nero ($6), who sits on the second line of betting. First emergency, Space Rider, shares the third line of betting with Memo at $7, while Icarian Dream ($8) and La Bella Boom ($8) round out the horses in single figures. 2025 Magic Millions 2YO Classic speed map The speed for the 2025 Magic Millions 2YO Classic will be very fast, with the likes of Invincible Woman, The Playwright, Space Rider, and Hi Barbie expected to fight for the lead. Vein Girl, Gallo Nero, Don’tdoubthelady and O’Ole will push forward from inside to middle barriers and settle behind the speed. Meanwhile, Quietly Arrogant, Memo, and Icarian Dream are likely to settle worse than midfield and enjoy the hot tempo. Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2025 Magic Millions 2YO Classic. Magic Millions 2YO Classic 2025 preview & form With so many speed influences engaged in this year’s edition of the Magic Millions 2YO Classic, Icarian Dream will go on top in the 1200m contest. The Ciaron Maher-trained filly was way too good for her rivals in the Group 3 B.J. McLachlan Stakes at Eagle Farm last start, as she sailed down the middle of the track and recorded a 1.5-length win. The daughter of Blue Point has been to the races four times so far, with each of her performances showing that she is only getting better with the experience. If Jason Collett can settle Icarian Dream in a good position from barrier 21, she will prove very hard to hold out late. Gallo Nero was very good when taking out a 2YO Handicap at Rosehill last start, and the Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes-trained colt will get the run of the race from barrier five. Invincible Woman and Space Rider have been impressive in their debut victories and must be given a chance if they can finish off after racing on speed. Magic Millions 2YO Classic 2025 selections & best bets Selections: 6 ICARIAN DREAM 2 GALLO NERO 10 INVINCIBLE WOMAN 17 SPACE RIDER $100 betting strategy $50 win Icarian Dream (#6) @ +700 with BlondeBet $50 win Gallo Nero (#2) @ +500 with Playup 2025 Magic Millions 2YO Classic Field No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight 1 Quietly Arrogant Peter Snowden Joshua Parr 16 57kg 2 Gallo Nero Michael, John & Wayne Hawkes Tyler Schiller 5 57kg 3 Secret Sort Donna Stanbridge Vld Duric 2 57kg 4 Luva Flutta Stuart Kendrick James Orman 7 57kg 5 Cool Archie Chris & Corey Munce Martin Harley 20 57kg 6 Icarian Dream Ciaron Maher Jason Collett 21 55kg 7 O’ Ole Bjorn Baker Tommy Berry 3 55kg 8 Vein Girl Chris & Corey Munce Cejay Graham 6 55kg 9 La Bella Boom Tony Gollan Craig Williams 10 55kg 10 Invincible Woman Lloyd Kennewell & Lucy Yeomans Damian Lane 9 55kg 11 Hi Barbie Tony Gollan Tim Clark 14 55kg 12 The Playwright Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Blake Shinn 8 55kg 13 Memo Peter Snowden Kerrin McEvoy 1 55kg 14 Formula Rossa Tony Gollan Angela Jones 18 55kg 15 Don’tdoubthelady Clinton Taylor Justin Stanley 17 55kg 16 Forgotten Spirit Scott Morrisey Linda Meech 11 55kg 17 Space Rider (1E) Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) Chad Schofield 4 57kg 18 Blitzburg (2E) Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou TBC 19 57kg 19 Earn To Burn (3E) Jack Bruce TBC 12 57kg 20 Lovebug (4E) Wendy Bannerot TBC 13 55kg 21 Insain Lady (5E) Adam & Dallas Simpson TBC 15 55kg Horse racing tips View the full article

Photo provided by X. Travis Bird, 51, has been charged with arson and trespass after allegedly setting fire to Melbourne’s iconic Caulfield Racecourse, causing significant damage to the Norman Robinson Stand. Speaking in Melbourne Magistrates’ Court on Wednesday, Mr. Bird, wearing a grey shirt, did not speak but nodded to confirm he understood his remand into custody. Police allege Mr. Bird ignited four fires across Melbourne’s southeastern suburbs on Tuesday morning, beginning with the blaze at Caulfield Racecourse at 6:20 am. The fire tore through the historic stand, severely damaging its wooden structure and the adjacent 1876 bar. Fire Rescue Victoria commander Dennis Smith noted that while the fire caused extensive damage, it was swiftly contained. “This had a lot of potential to extend and be a much more significant fire and really impact the racecourse,” he said. Mr. Bird’s lawyer confirmed he would not seek bail, citing his schizophrenia diagnosis and overdue medication. “His depot injection is overdue,” she told the court. “I ask his mental health be monitored while he is in custody.” The alleged arson spree continued later in the day with small fires reported in Arnott Street, Caulfield, and grassfires near Attenborough Park and the Nepean Highway in Mordialloc around 12:30 pm. Police arrested Mr. Bird at Mordialloc railway station shortly after 1:45 p.m. following a report from a member of the public. Melbourne Racing Club chairman John Kanga expressed dismay at the damage but assured the public of the club’s resilience. “We will rebuild the Norman Robinson Stand,” he said. As a result of the incident, Wednesday evening’s twilight races were relocated to Mornington Racecourse. Detective Sergeant Stuart Hough told reporters there was no indication Mr. Bird had any connection to the racing industry. Mr. Bird faces nine charges, including four counts of arson, two counts of trespass, and single counts of burglary, criminal damage, and theft. He has been remanded in custody and is scheduled to reappear in court on April 1. Horse racing news View the full article

I suppose the question is now whether the patch is consistent enough with the rest of the track to be safe to race on.

GC track works completed Ryan Reynolds @Reynolds_R   8:34am The affected section of the track at Gold Coast (Image: Gold Coast Turf Club) With Ben Sporle Key works on the Gold Coast Turf Club track have been completed as the clock ticks down to Saturday's feature Magic Millions Raceday. The club announced on Tuesday night that the new grass had been laid and key works completed after a significant portion of the track was damaged last week. That damage forced last Saturday's key lead-up meeting to be moved to the Sunshine Coast, allowing the club time to fix the track ahead of this weekend's $14.5m meeting. Evergreen Turf and VRC track manager Liam O'Keeffe were called in to assist to project, while Eagle Farm is on standby to host the meeting if required. Horses are set to gallop over the impacted section of track on Thursday morning with a call made shortly after on whether the meeting will proceed. Meanwhile, on Tuesday afternoon the Gold Coast Turf Club released a statement in relation to the investigation surrounding the damaged course proper. Spray nozzles, mixing equipment and footprints were found in the area were the damage occurred. Police are continuing their investigation in relation to the incident. “We’re awaiting an independent report from leading agronomist company Easton Turf, who has been up to take samples of the damaged turf, but it’s looking more and more a case of vandalism,” said GCTC Chairman Brett Cook. “We know the spray nozzles aren’t ours because they’re plastic and we use brass. “Easton Turf has seen a number of similar cases in the past and has spoken with the investigating police. “If it does turn out to be a deliberate act, which is looking increasingly likely, we’re very disappointed with a narrative that has come out suggesting it was some sort of mistake on our part.”    

I would like to know more about that if anyone can elaborate. I suspect there are now paid 'birdcage watchers' who report back to the bookies. That perhaps would in part explain late drifters  

New Zealand Thoroughbred Racing (NZTR) is excited to announce a transformative partnership with 1/ST, the premier North American Thoroughbred racing, gaming and entertainment company. Known for its iconic venues, including Santa Anita Park (California) and Gulfstream Park (Florida), 1/ST is a leader in modernizing horse racing by blending live racing with innovative gaming, hospitality and lifestyle experiences. As leaders of world-class racing, hospitality and entertainment events, 1/ST is also committed to advancing racing’s global profile through cutting-edge technology and international collaboration. This partnership brings a unique opportunity to connect three prestigious racedays: Auckland Thoroughbred Racing’s Champions Day (March 8), alongside 1/ST’s Pegasus World Cup (January 25) and California Crown (September 27). This collaboration will introduce “Golden Ticket” pathways, offering the winning horses direct entry into marquee races including: From the Pegasus World Cup (25 January 2025) to Champions Day (8 March 2025): The US$500,000 Group 2 Pegasus World Cup Filly & Mare Turf (1600m) winner earns entry to the NZ$600,000 Group 1 World Pool New Zealand Thoroughbred Breeders’ Stakes (1600m). The US$1,000,000 Group 1 Pegasus World Cup Turf (1800m) winner gains entry to the NZ$1,000,000 Group 1 Bonecrusher New Zealand Stakes (2000m). From Champions Day (8 March 2025) to California Crown (27 September 2025): The NZ$500,000 Rich Hill Stud Champion Middle Distance Series winner earns entry to the US$750,000 Group 1 California Crown John Henry Turf (2000m). The NZ$500,000 Sport Nation Champion Sprint Series winner earns entry to the US$750,000 Group 2 California Crown US$750,000 Eddie D Turf Sprint (1300m). To further enhance the partnership, NZTR and 1/ST will cover travel and freight costs for Golden Ticket-winning horses travelling internationally to compete in the respective countries. “This partnership marks an exciting milestone in showcasing New Zealand racing on the world stage,” commented Chief Operating Officer of NZTR, Darin Balcombe. “The Golden Ticket concept creates a unique pathway for international competition, enriching the experience for racing participants and fans alike.” Aidan Butler, President of 1/ST, added: “This partnership with NZTR exemplifies our commitment to elevating Thoroughbred racing globally. By linking these iconic racedays and supporting international competition, we’re looking to drive innovation, collaboration and global excitement in the sport.” Lachlan Fitt, Deputy CEO of Entain Australia and New Zealand, operators of the NZ TAB, also welcomed the announcement: “Congratulations to NZTR and 1/ST on reaching this exciting outcome. The partnership will continue the opportunity for NZ racing to be showcased to racing fans globally and is another new pathway for NZ racing participants to consider. And through our Trackside and Sport Nation media brands, we look forward to bringing the best of US racing to our wagering customers in NZ.” This partnership paves the way for significant growth in Thoroughbred racing across both regions, with both NZTR and 1/ST excited to build on this promising foundation moving forward. For more information about the partnership and Golden Ticket races, contact NZTR’s Head Handicapper Bruce Sherwin by emailing Bruce.Sherwin@nztr.co.nz. About The Stronach Group and 1/ST The Stronach Group is a world-class technology, entertainment and real estate development company with Thoroughbred racing and pari-mutuel wagering at the core. The Stronach Group’s 1/ST business (pronounced “First”) is North America’s preeminent Thoroughbred racing and pari-mutuel wagering company and includes the 1/ST RACING & GAMING, 1/ST CONTENT, 1/ST TECHNOLOGY and 1/ST EXPERIENCE businesses, while advocating for and driving the 1/ST HORSE CARE mission. 1/ST represents The Stronach Group’s continued movement toward redefining Thoroughbred racing and the ecosystem that drives it. 1/ST RACING & GAMING drives the best-in-class racing operations and gaming offerings at the company’s premier racetracks and training centers including: Santa Anita Park and San Luis Rey Downs (California); Gulfstream Park – home of the Pegasus World Cup and Palm Meadows Thoroughbred Training Center (Florida); Laurel Park, The Preakness Stakes, Rosecroft Raceway and Bowie Training Center (Maryland). 1/ST CONTENT is the operating group for 1/ST’s media and content companies including: Monarch Content Management, Elite, TSG Global Wagering Solutions (GWS) and XBTV. 1/ST TECHNOLOGY is racing’s largest racing and gaming technology company offering world-class products via its AmTote, Xpressbet, 1/ST BET, XB SELECT, XB NET, PariMAX and Betmix brands. 1/ST EXPERIENCE blends the worlds of sports, entertainment and hospitality through innovative content development, elevated national and local venue management and hospitality, strategic partnerships, sponsorships, and procurement development. As the advocate for critical industry reforms and by making meaningful investments into aftercare programs for retired horses and jockeys, 1/ST HORSE CARE represents The Stronach Group’s commitment to achieving the highest level of horse and rider care and safety standards in Thoroughbred racing on and off the track. The Stronach Group’s TSG Properties is responsible for the development of the company’s live, play and work communities surrounding its racing venues including: The Village at Gulfstream Park (Florida) and Paddock Pointe (Maryland). For more information, visit www.1st.com or follow @1ST_racing on Twitter or @1stracing on Instagram and Facebook. View the full article