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Bit Of A Yarn

Thomass

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Everything posted by Thomass

  1. Absolute TRAVESTY! Lilly came from well behind and the side on shows her just moving ahead and forward of Hercock before the attack. Takes a nip and Cara with BO didn't see it coming but felt the ATTACK losing momentum I'm picking Dummy and Lilly refused to protest and that's why it was a Stewards instigated one That doesn't help at all in coming to the correct decision
  2. JACKAROO has to go! Just as CARIGNAN goes up to w in the Jacka takes a bite out of the cheek and Cara gives up Gonnnnne
  3. I found it an interesting foot note to Mr B's form improvement, that's all Of course it's not a 'system' per se although I use BO sometimes to invest on ID'd form horses who're under the radar...i.e caught wide, checked et el but still running well to match other in that class, of course at value
  4. Why don't they AI the 'handicapping' Would we hear trainers of 'up and comers' complaining they were giving away weight to G1 performers even though their pure performance figure was superior? After all that's what handicapping should be doing isn't it Equalising outcomes with wieght not past perfromance?
  5. I don't do stupid questions normally but I'm feeling sorry for dumb animals today Maybe Dad saw Dan's ratings and how he'd dropped off normal highs, even when winning a G1 3 starts previously?? You'll hear many trainers talk about "saving blinkers up" knowing how well they've trained/trialed in them As for PL's 'thoughts' re '50%" of the time stat...give me a freaken break My reason day tear is profiling horses that have raced in superior races.. to win a certain amount and in adding 20% for blinkers...I'm trusting the trainer believes his horse is even more superior with a gear change
  6. I worked in 3 stables when I was younger and cant recall any instances where the boss would try BO without training/trialing in them Besides, it doesn't make sense that you'd risk hyping up a horse with something that new on race day when some horses already over race with them on Here's Champion Queensland trainer Tony Gollan's thoughts I definitely use blinkers and winkers a lot in trackwork to get an understanding of what is going to work on race day and what the horse feels most comfortable racing in. From a punting point of view, you want to see blinkers applied to a horse who is still on the way up in the preparation and open to improvement. A lot of the time I see blinkers applied to a horse who has been struggling and the application of blinkers is like a last resort or desperate tactic. When a horse is not going well and appears to have had enough for the campaign, blinkers or winkers aren't going to make a difference.
  7. You're as nutty as that bloke who goes 'mardigrassing' Providng a list of B wearers and expecting every single one of them to win, #pffttt Alors, if after you've 'analysed' the form and for example, you thought Mr. B was already value one trusts that Benny has trained Mr. B in them nek minute Dan discovers they worked and so did Willo What's so hard about that iron stein?
  8. The handicapper got it right then didn't he?
  9. info@lindsaypark.com.au Att. Benny Hayes
  10. Yep, there's also UNAPPROVED PLATES They go on top of the head and very good inversed when slippery Like that Scotland/All Black test circa 1975 "That's not a touchdown...that's a splashdown"!!!
  11. Seeing as you're being soooo nice to moi Stand by...with one leg in the air and black cloth on top of your noggin
  12. Make a great Kumara patch
  13. This has to been done to death But I cant get my head around the lack of understanding on this Shirley, if the DOYEN of ratings DAN, rates the BO performance as the 2nd best of its 42 starts and WILLO the jock says "the blinkers helped no end" Ipso facto stuff Punting blinkers, when the profile I use hits on a Black type performer (esp, after Xmas) taking into account value and the trainer/jockey decides to add extra gear (esp. blinkers and ESP. first up for example) Then I trust the trainer has worked said horse in such and noticed an improvement at a rating where I believe said horse is ALREADY going to be superior to it's competition Simply add @20/30% to my stake Cant get any clearer than that
  14. #yeana " had the blinkers on for the first time in his 40-start career and that may have proven a master stroke as he improved notably" That's right, he observed and like horseman WILLO came to the obvious conclusion Fair suck of the sav, let it go and admit you're way out of your depth
  15. From leading historian of fascist leaders and movements, Robert Paxton's book Anatomy of Fascism...a checklist Cultivates “a sense of overwhelming crisis beyond the reach of traditional solutions” tick Exhibits “the superiority of the leader’s instincts over abstract and universal reason” tick Underscores “the need for authority by natural leaders (always male) culminating in a national chief who alone is capable of incarnating the group’s destiny” Ascribes to “the belief that one’s group is a victim, a sentiment that justifies any action, without legal or moral limits, against its enemies” tick Demonstrates “the need for closer integration of a purer community; by consent if possible, or by exclusionary violence if necessary” tick Promotes “the beauty of violence and the efficacy of will when they are devoted to the group’s success” tick
  16. This is "finger in the air stuff" "Perhaps but did it really make a difference? His last 200m might have been quick but they ran 1:36 for a Grp 1 on a Good 4 track. The maidens at Riccarton ran 0.8 of a second slower on a Soft 6!!!' The science of professional rating's, PROFESSOR Dan is very well respected and uses algorithms you wouldn't know existed Comparing Riccarton maiden times to Mr. B's is the stuff of lunacy and you'd be laughed out of Dan's 'cop the f on' classes
  17. Just had a look at the head on as well Before the gates have open EV is on it's haunches having a good old squat Stewards order late scratchings for far less...attendant still holding onto the head and rearing after the gates have opened Minimal difference and punters should ALWAYS be given the benefit of the doubt Times have changed so dont screw the punters
  18. Former Chief of Staff John Kelly should know Served the moron for 2 years, said "Hitler did some good things" and "put personal loyalty above the Constitution" Narcissist, fascist, egotist in charge of the 'free world' "we're going to protect women...whether they like it or not" We're fucked
  19. What's really funny though...your hero's Te Akau, are MASSIVE users of BO Stink for you I guess?? Seriously though, drop the Trumpeske b/s and look at the SCIENCE I provided
  20. Starter unlucky imho...attendant flings the blindfold off...some jock elsewhere starts yelling to stop, EV given a few seconds freedom then rears Harness starts a total joke
  21. That's right it's a MAIDEN HANDICAP Saturday's will have a mix of maiden handicaps and set weight maidens Recently we introduced 3yo Handicaps to help out horses who were only being given 1kg weight relief at SW & P's winners would normally attract 2/212kgs penalty in a handicap race, certainly not 1kg Very unfair to lesser performed horses and doesn't attract greater betting
  22. So Betfair form expert Dan O'Sullivan's rating's for the week are in and he's all over Mr. B's career high ratings His career peak being in the 2000M Cox which shows he can get further and of course if he'd had BO over the longer distance may have raced too fiercely We'll leave that up to the experts like Davo and Pop Col's idea that BO would work this time though Mr Brightside had the blinkers on for the first time in his 40-start career and that may have proven a master stroke as he improved notably on his recent form to run a 104.5 rating and win the Group 1 Champions Mile, defeating Antino (103.5) by half a length. He came off previous ratings of 100.6 in the G1 Cox Plate, 100.8 in the G1 Might And Power Stakes and 100.9 in the G2 Feehan Stakes. This improved performance ranks just below his career peak of 104.9 in the 2023 Cox Plate, where he was narrowly beaten by Romantic Warrior, and slightly above his 104.3 rating in his Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes win the same year. His next level of top form shows ratings of 103.8 and 103.5 multiple times. While he may not be among the highest-rated horses we've seen, Mr Brightside’s list of achievements, consistency and longevity make him a more than worthy contender for future induction into the Australian Racing Hall of Fame. Across his 40-start career, he has claimed eight Group 1 wins (nine if the All-Star Mile is included), finished second six times (seven with the All-Star Mile), and run third twice, excelling at distances from 1400m to 2040m. Given his near career-best performance on Saturday, there’s no reason he can’t return in the Autumn with a strong chance to capture further Group 1 wins.
  23. Of course there's levels of seriousness in anything It doesn't mean casual racism/sexism should be ignored...unless you think generation alpha/z should accept man boobed men commenting on their monthly supposed temperament issues BTW research shows that 'monthly' thing is b/s
  24. How did I know you'd react like a typical beer pot bellied man boobed kind of way? After all you saw nothing wrong in commenting on a jockey's marriage split with the non guilty party's name being headlined. The total moron who runs that site left it up for days and you and stupid old nomates feasted on it and saw nothing wrong with it Disgusting
  25. Actually that rings a bell now you mention it The same applies to other rating bands doesn't it? Consistent horses tend to gravitate to the top but that's 'handicap' racing for you Trainers can run horses from outside barriers, unsuitable tracks or inexperienced apprentice to get their rating down. It's all part of 'racing' as we know it but in the end handicap racing promotes and encourages betting As I say there can be a mix of set weights and handicap maidens here as there is in Australia. For example there's a 100K Maiden Handicap at Rosehill today. When well know form expert Dominic Beirne recommended changes to WA's programming he reasoned What are the benefits of Maiden handicaps? As with all other handicap races, maiden handicap provide the opportunity for horses to be weighted based on their previous performances rather than running under set-weight conditions only. This is expected to provide Owners of lower rated maiden horses the chance of winning a race at that level. What he said
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