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Bit Of A Yarn

Nowornever

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Everything posted by Nowornever

  1. NZ TAB is a bloody disgrace. Took the afternoon off work to have a bet on and watch the Rangiora Trots and can't even get a bet on. Seriously TAB for a billion dollar company you are fucking hopeless.
  2. Meanwhile in the same race Crystal Hackett was gifted the fence run behind Cold Chisel which was the best spot in the race but chose to sit parked and was then unlucky. Cost the owners 10K in prize money doing that.
  3. No comment
  4. What a great campaign the teal pants is but whose bright idea was it to have two or three teal jackets the same color replacing the trainers colors in a race. Complete turn off for me and not necessary when the teal pants are so easy to see in a race. Three jackets the same color on different trainers just makes it confusing. I have given up on the number of times the commentator has got the names mixed up on them when commentating and you know it is bad when down at the local pub they are trying to look at the number of the horse on the screen on the teal jacket runners to see what horse is what during a race.
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  5. The horse that won had raced well against the best mares in the country including Millwood Nike while Woodlea Jewel had been beating one and two win horses and had drawn wide on a leaders track with a ton of gate speed inside. I would like to thank the BGP for raising the dividend on the Advance Party 😂. Once upon a time win movers were a good indicator to horses chances but social media has pretty much killed that train of thought. Following random guys picks that get plunged in by a group of sheep following along is a compete waste of time. But it can work to your advantage and today was a good example. I had Advance Party around 1.90 and to get $5.00 was unbelievable.
  6. Of all the meetings this week I am looking forward to the Hawera Friday/Sunday double. Great fields and I reckon I can give a the bookies a blood nose looking at the fields.
  7. Yes not many gallopers surprisingly, considering how rough it was. Saw a few drivers leaving their seats going over it.
  8. The crossing at Riverton looks like a death trap for trotters galloping. Good luck getting over that. It is a lottery!
  9. He was never going to be a chance today with all the speed inside him. Made a pretty penny backing against him
  10. Yes thinking about buying a slow donkey off gavelhouse for $500 that has had 100 starts for nothing and sending it to Grimson so it can run a 1:51 and possibly win a miracle mile
  11. No good bringing them out early if you can't get on.
  12. Bookies would have been running for cover if that one had just run a place for my multis. Easy day on the punt and still can't believe they gave 3.50 for Tokyo Rose.
  13. Had the gap 50m sooner but decided to wait until he only had 50m left to wind up to full speed. Stiff again.
  14. They do. Turn over more than 120K a year on tote and they will give you a rebate on tote betting. The more you turn over the higher the rebate which on top of the profit is a good chunk of change if you are good enough.
  15. R3.......ALTA SHOWGIRL is the best horse in the race and with JD driving in an average field, should win. Miley Ace a good place bet from the draw I had a go on that. R6.....MIDFREW LUCRE ran very nicely on the first day. Bob takes over. Should go very close. Watch That Man better draw with driver change I had a go on that. R9......JACCKA OPA drawn ice. Just getting warmed up on Friday. Can win. Tokyo Rose looks the best in that race for me thought it might have been shorter than 3.80 R10.....MOSSDALE BEN is my bet of the meeting. The distance suits and he just wins. Dashing Major I like for a place in that and over the odds at $4.50
  16. Brodie type punters are the easiest for the TAB to identify and restrict. Putting $1000 - $3000 bets on stands out like dogs balls. Plus if you are making a profit then that comes straight off the bottom line of the fixed odds yield. You don't have to be a rocket scientist to see those types of punters are what Entain and all other bookmakers in the world are trying to get off their books.
  17. Fixed odds exotics algorithm takes the value out of the fixed exotics especially trifectas and first fours. Any payout under 1000 on fixed tri and f4 is normally 15% - 30% less than tote barring the odd exception.
  18. Incorrect. There is value in the exotic bets if you know how to extract it!
  19. I don't rate her at all. Parked out is her favourite position and her second favourite thing is getting back and running home with no room.
  20. Agreed Agreed and hit the nail on the head.
  21. Terrible drive. You have to wonder why they keep putting her on.
  22. It is in their best interest to do so. They can keep track of sneaky punters who try to win more than they should.
  23. Mmm not really want the Entain shareholders want to hear I would suspect. From a punters viewpoint it sounds great.
  24. Trackside is going downhill fast. The first day at Nelson you couldn't even see the 20m horses at the start on some races and in the straight horses out wide or near the back missing from the coverage. Complete bunch of no hopers giving the camera guys instructions. Zoom out and let us see our horses we have backed you morons.
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