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Bit Of A Yarn

curious

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Everything posted by curious

  1. Estimates are not to do with any correlation or I'm not sure what you mean by that. If there's anything that will improve a fit horse by 5% please let me know. That's the difference between a decent maiden and Black Caviar. And no, I don't use sectionals at all. I find them irrelevant, but that's just me.
  2. Which is why I put the chance estimate alongside my Gulfstream tip. It lost but I didn't back it anyway at 7/2. Nor the one that was first time in blinkers or lined up with any of Thommo's other theories.
  3. Be careful though. Thommo would probably say the danger is Towa. Blinkers on.
  4. Have a look at Gulfstream Race 5 #4 Durlyn. No odds yet but about a 20% chance by me.
  5. Long time since I've been to the races in NZ, but if a couple of stipes were rocking up to give an exhibition gallop, that might get me there! Btw, what the hell is a heart vilberation?
  6. That just proves you are a head case.
  7. I thought a Halcyon was a bird, or is it birding days that you are referring to TDB?
  8. Yeahh. Quite impressive trials. Should be close to fit now. Quinella with the blinkers off runner? FO 40s now I see. Might need to find the fast lane though?
  9. And Thommo, how did he know where the fast lane was? The pen readings?
  10. And did I see see people having car parties with BYO?
  11. Magic ride
  12. Oh....they race on dirt there? Was there a fast lane and did the one in the blinkers in the first photo get up?
  13. Yes. I'm sure Thommo will agree that long holidays should be reported.
  14. Yep, I'm working on that. Just a simple radio system like they use in the US for track work should work I'm thinking and be legal.
  15. I only back horses that are fitted with sleep monitors where I can get direct reports from trainers, provided of course that they meet other criteria such as tongue ties, blinkers and lasix and that I know where the fast lane is on the track, even if the horse doesn't.
  16. ROI? Any evidence of that from a punting perspective? I'm surprised that you now trust the trainer on this. I thought you relied on stats.
  17. Yep, I read that study about 8 years ago Thommo. Most trainers know that I think. What's your point?
  18. To be fair, I think he'd know a lot about consistency of (bull) shit.
  19. You trusted the trainer on a gear change? I thought you wanted to know what it had for breakfast and make your own judgement on that? Do you add the 20% because you trust the trainer or because the horse has a tongue tie on first up?
  20. I agree, but as you state above, they are distinct industries, and as mardigras states, the NZRB obligation is to the racing ones of all codes, not the breeding ones. Conflating the two in the size and scope figures being cited is mischievous at best and irrelevant to arguments for support for the racing industry. I know the DIA and other key politicians are aware of this.
  21. pix of what?
  22. Had an agistment farm out of Paris, Ky, a couple of country blocks away from Claiborne in the 80s and early 90s. Used to walk mares in there for covering and also often took visitors to see the stallions. Sir Ivor used to like his tongue rubbed as well.
  23. Never saw him race but saw him at work in the breeding shed a number of times and had the pleasure of shaking his tongue one day which he liked to pop out for a squeeze.
  24. We are obviously not alone in thinking that. https://www.newsday.com/sports/horseracing/belmont-stakes/justify-stablemate-restoring-hope-helped-win-belmont-stakes-1.19118074
  25. My point exactly. Here's Justify and Gronkowski pulling up after the Belmont. Jockeys can obviously afford more than two pairs of goggles over there and the horses cope with the kick back.
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