
Nowornever
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Everything posted by Nowornever
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Yes wasn't going to have a bet as I thought Hadron Collider would just lead and win in the 3yo race, until I saw the money drift and a ton of money come for the stablemate. I knew then they were not going forward at the start with Hadron and he couldn't win coming from the back so had a wee nibble on Harrison John. Stable had that one worked out well before hand 😂
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I never had any to start with.
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Why don't more drivers get a running start like Craig Ferguson did on the winner of this race. Just hang back 10 lengths and then as they are lining up start sprinting and you get a huge advantage at full speed while the rest are just getting started. Not the first time I have seen this and there is obviously no penalty for it with the weak stipes, so looks like a loophole at the start for drivers who do this.
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Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Yes never heard of people getting banned for tote betting. Fixed odds is a different story as any consistent winnings by customers comes straight off their bottom line. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Fixed odds trifectas are not linked to the tote pool for trifectas but the algorithm errs on the side of caution and works out a trifecta dividend 30-40% lower than it should be. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Fixed odds trifecta bets are a waste of time, the algorithm has them priced about 75% of what they would usually pay or less sometimes. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Because I can double dip on the same trifecta dividend. As an example lets say I get 1 dollar worth of a 1000 trifecta off four different bookmakers then I am getting $4000 but if I tried to get four dollars of the trifecta on the NZ pool that only has 4000 in it the dividend would only be $500 or less I am only going to get $2000 if I am lucky. Probably another one of the reasons Ladbrokes is getting rid of the NZ customers in Aussie. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Yes Ladbrokes and a number of other bookmakers I think do not bet into a tote pool for Trifectas. Even though they use the Victoria dividends as the price there would be no takeout. If you win anything it is off their bottom line. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
If they price one up wrong at 5 or 6 a place when it should be 2.50 it lifts the exotics up quite a bit as well. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Opened with $100 turned into 6K profit in about 4 weeks during the grass track racing in Canterbury Probably had 100 to 150 bets over that month around 10% were quinellas and about 90% trifectas. They were quite happy to let me bet but not that happy when I tried to take it out. I am guessing they were hoping I would lose it again but pulled the pin when I withdrew $500 as a test run. Quite easy to make money if you know what you are doing Newmarket just ask Brodie. You just have to be better than the bookmakers as they are not that good at pricing up the markets. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Never had a bet on either win or place. All money won was via quinellas and trifectas. Ladbrokes are a bunch of arrogant wankers going by their emails to me when closing me down. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
About a month. As soon as I tried to withdraw some of my winnings I got an email from them saying after a review we have decided your account will be closed. They sent me the funds out of the account after a week of waiting and never answered any of my emails again. Not long after I got banned emails from two of their subsidiaries I was with as well. I think I turned $100 into about $6K and that pissed them off. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Along with Ladbrokes I was also banned from all of their subsidiaries as well. -
Ladbrokes closing all NZ resident accounts in Austrslia!
Nowornever replied to Brodie's topic in Trotting Chat
Will not worry me. I have been banned from Ladbrookes for years now. I didn't fit their business model it seems. -
Addington… What Are Your Favourite Memories
Nowornever replied to Newmarket's topic in Trotting Chat
Yes the car was the best place for picking up the coverage in South Canterbury so my brother dad and I would spend half the of the night listening in the car until we jacked up this huge 50ft aerial one day and solved all our problems. Trackside came on a few years later -
I don't think Dexter will be home anytime soon unless he stops earing over $1million dollars every year
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More to do with politics and lining pockets than actually doing what is best for the punters and racing in general in my opinion.
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Still a waste of time with very unreliable data right throughout the site Race 2 Cambridge tonight jumps at 6:04pm on all other platforms but not the shit website we have to deal with.
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Awful fields tonight
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Brodie did you get on George Elliot. Biggest certainty of the year with John Morrison driving. Previous form with Trevor driving unlucky, unlucky, unlucky, three wide and parked, unlucky, unlucky. $4.40 on opening was a gift from the gods and bookies got that one well wrong.
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I could write a book on drivers doing that. One of my pet peeves also. Hope For Love at Rangiora in the last race on 5th May the latest of my hairpulling rants. Had a decent place multi finishing on that one, but she pulled off the fence and went nowhere while the horse behind her says thanks and goes on to run a place. When you are three deep the fence and pull off, half the time it is onto the back of the parked horse who is on his way backwards. You right Brodie you see it time and time again.
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Yes zero consistency. For mine the biggest improvers run of the day at Ashburton without question was Franco Humbie sitting parked in quick time and winning easily. That was a massive run and a big improvement from what he has been showing in his last 10 runs. No questions there but why not? If any questions needed to asked for improvement it was that race considering the run it received. Anyway I am sick of talking about the inconsistency of the stipes. Nothing will change as they are a law unto themselves.
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Yes both you and I know his greenness is why he has been out of the running but the average punter who knows nothing about ability looks at his form and sees 80003 and presumably that is why the stipes are questioning these trainers and drivers. If they took context into account then Good Time Betty would never have been questioned and neither would a ton of others where they have conducted a meaningless integration.
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Heartbreak Hotel beaten more than 50 metres last two starts and nearly rank outsider of the field, never placed before but never questioned. If you are looking for more examples I can give you dozens in the last few months but the point is there is no consistency at all on their part and all they do is make themselves look stupid with random inquiries to drivers on horses that have placed for obvious reasons. Have they got a rule book they can use to determine if a question needs to be asked of the trainer or driver? If it is just down to the discretion of the stipes on the day then that is asking for trouble and they leave themselves open for all sorts of integrity/favouritism implications because they never get it right, for example your Brent Barclay argument. They should get a set of guidelines drawn up and make it public. Then they can be held to account and drivers and trainers and punters know where they stand.