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Bit Of A Yarn

Nowornever

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Everything posted by Nowornever

  1. Stipes running out of things to do, so lets ask some dumb questions. CAPTAIN KOBE - when questioned regarding the improved performance trainer S Dolan advised the gelding had appreciated a drop in calibre of horses from recent racing and had trained on well since its last start. Finished five lengths from the winner last start after working hard and today beats a much weaker field. Everybody including the public who made the horse a hot favourite could see why it won and it was not an improved performance it went slower today than it did the last start so in actual fact it was a worse performance.
  2. I agree tote pool down a huge % since the new website. Almost not worth betting on the exotics now.
  3. Been trouble for me all night. Website has almost been worse since Entain took over.
  4. The average punter sees 1 month vs 2 days for the same offense in the report. They don't even know Neil is an amateur how would they work out the inconsistency you just explained?
  5. And your thoughts on: Star Magic ran fifth and sixth previous two starts and was less than three lengths from the winner in both and was single figures on the tote. STAR MAGIC - when questioned regarding the improved performance trainer/driver G Smith advised the gelding had benefited from a brief freshen up after feeling the effects of recent racing and had been working well in preparation for today's race. Yet the second horse Lord Mudrick who was close to the rank outsider paying the same for a place as the win price for the winner and in its previous two starts had finished eight and ninth with losing margins of 11.5 len and 6.5len was never questioned. Even worse this horse had gone back in its last three starts from good draws but this time is driven out of the gate like a madman from a wide alley.
  6. While I am a rant at the Repressive Inconsistency Unit is this just another miserable attempt at a token ask the question on why did the horse improve or did they actually get the wrong horse. Star Magic ran fifth and sixth previous two starts and was less than three lengths from the winner in both and was single figures on the tote. STAR MAGIC - when questioned regarding the improved performance trainer/driver G Smith advised the gelding had benefited from a brief freshen up after feeling the effects of recent racing and had been working well in preparation for today's race. Yet the second horse Lord Mudrick who was close to the rank outsider paying the same for a place as the win price for the winner and in its previous two starts had finished eight and ninth with losing margins of 11.5 len and 6.5len was never questioned. Even worse this horse had gone back in its last three starts from good draws but this time is driven out of the gate like a madman from a wide alley. Once again no consistency for the punters.
  7. Neil Munro 7 Starts this year for 1 win and 1 third. Steve Trotter 11 starts this year for 1 third. Yet the penalties look obscene when you compare them. Thoughts?
  8. Occasionally the tips are ok but I always check the bigger price moves to see if it s a boys get paid or whale tip. If you don't like their selection then there is always value in something else because the market is skewed by the weight of money from the social media. I make more money backing against their tips than backing them. In fact I hope they tip something against one I like as the money on mine always blows out and you can get plenty on because the TAB is offsetting the risk and always takes your bet.
  9. Winter racing can be like that I have found. Either hot favourites and no value or complete blowouts who you couldn't pick. I just close down my betting June, July and August and wait for spring racing to start.
  10. An opinion can not be a misrepresentation or can it?
  11. Everything they said was factual even the opinion of the chances which going on the last three starts without knowing the quality of the fields it has been racing is quite believable. Like I said they do not know the ability of the horse they are commenting on, they only know the form which is 05955.
  12. Plenty of use to the TAB not for the punters. Use it to your advantage.
  13. Opened at 4s. The bookies might be AI generating the prices as well or they are just useless.
  14. Yeh the pub punter looking at that wouldn't touch it. Like I said might boost the multis and tote divs
  15. Yes they have been produced/written by someone who also does the same job for gallops and dog races so it is just generic text. They have probably never even heard of the horses and actually do not even care about the horses previous form. Actually a great move by bookmakers worldwide as it gives the punter not much of an idea and they make more money. I think it is great and gives someone who knows their stuff a much better chance of making money especially if you bet on the tote, where you only have to be better than the other mugs betting to make money.
  16. They are not harness analysts who provide these comments. More likely a data analyst just putting in some text around what they see in the form. Will soon be done by AI if it isn't already. Entain has no interest in providing you winners through the comments. They are in the business of giving you losers not winners so completely ignore the form and comments on the site.
  17. Do they ever? They don't wake up unless there is a lower rated driver whipping 10.5 times instead of 10. Then they will have the magnifying glass out in front of the video and then the guy tied up in the chair trying to get a confession.
  18. No they are terrible.
  19. Yes wasn't going to have a bet as I thought Hadron Collider would just lead and win in the 3yo race, until I saw the money drift and a ton of money come for the stablemate. I knew then they were not going forward at the start with Hadron and he couldn't win coming from the back so had a wee nibble on Harrison John. Stable had that one worked out well before hand 😂
  20. I never had any to start with.
  21. Why don't more drivers get a running start like Craig Ferguson did on the winner of this race. Just hang back 10 lengths and then as they are lining up start sprinting and you get a huge advantage at full speed while the rest are just getting started. Not the first time I have seen this and there is obviously no penalty for it with the weak stipes, so looks like a loophole at the start for drivers who do this.
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  22. Yes never heard of people getting banned for tote betting. Fixed odds is a different story as any consistent winnings by customers comes straight off their bottom line.
  23. Fixed odds trifectas are not linked to the tote pool for trifectas but the algorithm errs on the side of caution and works out a trifecta dividend 30-40% lower than it should be.
  24. Fixed odds trifecta bets are a waste of time, the algorithm has them priced about 75% of what they would usually pay or less sometimes.
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