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You're too simple to see the flaws in your logic. Here's something to keep your intellect challenged. How about you go through the NZ fields for tomorrow and tell me which horses that have blinkers on are going to win? -
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This has to been done to death But I cant get my head around the lack of understanding on this Shirley, if the DOYEN of ratings DAN, rates the BO performance as the 2nd best of its 42 starts and WILLO the jock says "the blinkers helped no end" Ipso facto stuff Punting blinkers, when the profile I use hits on a Black type performer (esp, after Xmas) taking into account value and the trainer/jockey decides to add extra gear (esp. blinkers and ESP. first up for example) Then I trust the trainer has worked said horse in such and noticed an improvement at a rating where I believe said horse is ALREADY going to be superior to it's competition Simply add @20/30% to my stake Cant get any clearer than that
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By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Andrew Forsman has won every Group One race for three-year-olds in New Zealand apart from the Barneswood Farm New Zealand 1000 Guineas (1600m), and the Cambridge trainer hopes Kitty Flash(NZ) (Ace High) might be the filly to give him his missing piece at Riccarton on Saturday. During his highly successful partnership with Murray Baker, Forsman picked up three wins in the Gr.1 New Zealand 2000 Guineas (1600m) with Turn Me Loose (2014), Madison County (2018) and Aegon (2020). The pair won the Gr.1 New Zealand Derby (2400m) on two occasions with Mongolian Khan (2015) and Vin De Dance (2018), while Bonneval delivered them a Gr.1 New Zealand Oaks (2400m) in 2017. The Levin Classic (1600m), which held Group One status until its downgrade to Group Two this season, was also won by Madison County in 2019. Forsman’s best result in the 1000 Guineas to date came with Valalie’s runner-up finish behind Media Sensation in 2018, while Mary Shan was a close fifth last year. Kitty Flash has made impressive strides this spring and has done it all in a single preparation, starting with a close fifth on debut in the Gr.3 Northland Breeders’ Stakes (1200m) at Ruakaka in August. The daughter of Ace High recorded back-to-back wins at Taupo and Te Rapa in her next two starts, leading all the way on both occasions. She abandoned those front-running tactics in the Gr.2 Soliloquy Stakes (1400m) at Ellerslie on October 26, charging home from the back for a close second behind the 1000 Guineas favourite Alabama Lass. Kitty Flash clocked the fastest sectional times for her last 800m (47.04 seconds), 600m (35.45), 400m (23.76) and 200m (12.34). “She’s done a great job to come all this way in one preparation,” Forsman said. “She seems to be getting better and better all the time, which is very encouraging to see. “The way she found the line at Ellerslie was great. One of the best things about her is how tractable she is. When we’ve changed the way we’ve wanted to ride her, she’s adapted to it very quickly. It was a really good performance in the Soliloquy and exactly what we wanted to see as we prepare to step her up over a mile. “She’s trained on really well since then and handled the trip down to Christchurch perfectly. I think she’s spot on. “I think she can run out a strong mile. You never quite know when you’re going into these Guineas races at Riccarton, where it is quite a tough mile. I think most of the other fillies in this field are in the same boat. But she was very strong at the end of her race over 1400m last start, which gives us a little bit of confidence that the extra 200m will be within her grasp.” Kitty Flash will attempt to complete a 1000 Guineas double for Rich Hill Stud stallion Ace High, who also sired last year’s winner Molly Bloom. Meanwhile, Forsman has further feature-race representation at Riccarton on Saturday with Sporting Chance contesting the Gr.3 Martin Collins 161st New Zealand Cup (3200m). The six-year-old Dundeel gelding goes into the race on the back of late-finishing fourth placings at Ellerslie in his two most recent appearances. The first of those was a 2100m open handicap on October 19, which was followed by a 2400m Rating 75 on November 5. “He just got a bit too far back last time and was never really a winning chance from there,” Forsman said. “It was still a pretty strong staying effort in the end. He’ll certainly relax, switch off and give himself every chance of running out a strong two miles on Saturday. His handy draw (gate five) should allow us to settle a little bit closer, somewhere around the first third of the field, which will help his chances.” At Tauranga, the well-performed Saint Bathans is entered for both the Gr.2 Gartshore Tauranga Stakes (1600m) and the Laser Plumbing Waihi Beach (1400m). “I’m probably leaning towards the 1400m race,” Forsman said. “He’s had an unlucky run of bad barriers, and that’s continued with drawing the outside gate for the Tauranga Stakes. It might be a Saturday morning decision, but his better draw for the 1400m race might make that a slightly more attractive option at this stage. “The horse is in good form and has been working really well leading into this. He just hasn’t had much luck go his way lately.” View the full article -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Well-bred filly Love Poem will take on some of the best of her generation for the second time in a week when she lines up in Saturday’s Gr.1 Barneswood Farm 52nd New Zealand 1000 Guineas (1600m) at Riccarton. The daughter of Snitzel is backing up from last Saturday’s Gr.1 New Zealand 2000 Guineas (1600m), in which she ran a gallant second behind standout colt Savaglee. “I thought it was a brilliant run,” trainer Stephen Marsh said. “She was just beaten by the season’s benchmark three-year-old. We went up and had a look at him in the straight, but he just kept finding and won very well in the end. He’s obviously an exciting colt. “But hey, we’ve got a beautifully bred Snitzel filly who’s a multiple stakes placegetter, and that now includes a second in a Group One. That’s a great outcome.” Racing in the colours of Lib Petagna’s JML Bloodstock, Love Poem was bought by Bruce Perry for A$280,000 as a yearling in Sydney last year. She is a half-sister to the classy Ciaron Maher-trained mare Estriella, whose 12-start career has so far produced five wins headed by last month’s Gr.2 Caulfield Sprint (1000m). Their dam, the Lonhro mare Madrigals, is a full-sister to multiple Group One winner and quality sire Pierro. Love Poem has herself had six starts, winning a maiden at Te Rapa in late September and placing at black-type level in all of the other five. She placed in last season’s Gr.3 Taranaki 2YO Classic (1200m), Gr.2 Matamata Breeders’ Stakes (1200m) and Listed Star Way Stakes (1200m), and she has continued that trend into her three-year-old season with placings in the Gr.2 Soliloquy Stakes (1400m) and last Saturday’s 2000 Guineas. Marsh has been pleased with the way Love Poem came through the 2000 Guineas, which was run in 1:33.86 – the third-fastest time in the history of the race. “She’s bounced through it beautifully,” Marsh said. “We’re happy to back her up again on Saturday with the addition of side winkers. “She was making up ground behind the favourite (Alabama Lass) in the Soliloquy Stakes a few weeks ago, and I think she’s a better filly left-handed as well, so we’re going into Saturday in good shape. “It’s a quality field with the likes of Alabama Lass, Captured By Love and also Andrew Forsman’s exciting filly (Kitty Flash), but I think we’re going into it with a runner that can be right in the finish again.” Marsh will also be represented in Saturday’s Gr.3 Martin Collins 161st New Zealand Cup (3200m), in which Nest Egg will attempt to go one better than his runner-up finish behind Mahrajaan last year. Nest Egg went into last year’s Cup as the winner of the lead-up race on the first day of the carnival, the Listed Metropolitan Trophy (2600m). He ran in the same race last Saturday and finished eighth behind Mehzebeen. “He probably just over-raced a little bit on the first day,” Marsh said. “This time in, he’s feeling better and going better than he ever has before. He might have just got a bit too keen in the blinkers. The blinkers will come off for the Cup. “He’s come through the first day very well. With that run under his belt, and ridden a bit more neutrally, I think he can be very competitive.” Both Love Poem and Nest Egg will be ridden by Matt Cartwright. The TAB rates them $11 and $12 chances respectively. View the full article
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