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A book that was produced 14 years ago by UK's Racing Post had a lot of detail to help people who like to back racehorses. Putting aside all of the arguments for and against recent/old form, weight etc, a telling closing statement in one of the chapters of the book, always stuck in my mind. Quote " THE ONLY WAY to make a long term profit from any form of gambling is to bet only when the odds available exceed the probability of winning. Unfortunately in horseracing there are no hard and fast rules - It will always be subjective, and a matter of personal opinion."unquote -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Kevin Myers should never be underestimated when he takes a team of horses to the West Coast, and neither should his apprentice Lily Sutherland, who included the Recreation Hotel Greymouth Cup (2000m) in her five-win haul on Sunday with Kick On (NZ) (Per Incanto). The 20-year-old hoop rode out her claim at Otaki on Boxing Day, but that hasn’t slowed her progress in the slightest, riding winners at New Plymouth and Tauherenikau in the subsequent days. Prior to the Omoto meeting, Sutherland was the favourite for the jockey’s challenge and she wasted no time getting on the board, winning the first event of the day aboard Peter Didham’s Havarti (NZ) (Swiss Ace). She saluted aboard the Michael and Matthew Pitman-trained Russian Rosette (NZ) (Russian Revolution) in the third, alongside victories with Trauma (NZ) (Time Test) and Bernardo (NZ) (Belardo), both prepared by Wanganui-based Myers. The proven talent of Myers’ contingent, Kick On, was slightly underrated heading into the feature event of the day, starting at $4.50 despite coming out of classy fields in the North Island this campaign. Two of the fancied runners, Mahoe and Reverberations, powered from the gates and were prominent early, while Sutherland found a good position off the fence in fourth with Kick On. Mahoe maintained his lead and gave the field something to chase on the home turn, but Kick On had plenty of momentum, pouncing to the lead at the 150m and drawing away by an extending 3 – ¾ lengths. The Buffer closed well to finish in second ahead of Star Ballot and Charbano. A humble Sutherland was full of praise for Kick On, who she had ridden to success twice previously. “I wanted to be positive and we were, I let one out in front of me but he was in a good rhythm so we just stayed where we were,” she said. “I got going and he’s just been a little bit too good. “He’s definitely been going well and he’s run big races in stakes company, so he has the class. “I’m very grateful to the whole team at the Myers stables for the work they do on these horses, I just get the easy job of sitting on them and getting them to run. “I’ve just had good support all the way through.” Sutherland’s quintet of winners has her sitting at 43 for the season, just nine shy of her career-best 52, a total which won her last year’s apprentice premiership. A son of Per Incanto, Kick On is out of star steeplechasing mare Kick Back, who won the Pakuranga Hunt Cup (4900m) and Great Northern Steeplechase (6400m) before retiring with 11 wins, the first of those coincidently coming at the Omoto meeting in 2013. Bred and owned by the Trotter family, Kick On has won seven races and just shy of $250,000 in stakes in a 44-start career, which also included finishing second to He’s A Doozy in the Gr.3 Coupland’s Bakeries Mile (1600m) in 2022. View the full article -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Dual Group One winner Ceolwulf (NZ) (Tavistock) is scheduled to kick off his campaign in next month’s Apollo Stakes. It is just under six weeks until Ceolwulf is scheduled to make his return to the races and trainer Joe Pride says the dual Group One winner is shaping up as a “bigger, stronger horse” heading into the autumn. Ceolwulf announced himself as one of the rising stars of the Australian turf last spring when he claimed back-to-back Group One wins in breathtaking fashion over the Randwick mile in the Epsom Handicap and King Charles III Stakes. The four-year-old is currently second favourite behind Cox Plate-winning star mare Via Sistina in an early market for the weight-for-age Gr.1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) at Randwick in April and Pride is planning to kick off the gelding’s campaign in the Group 2 Apollo Stakes (1400m) at Randwick on February 15. “I’m really happy with him,” Pride said. “The aim is to run in the Apollo on the 15th (of February). “He’s just going along really nicely.” Ceolwulf was given a spell after his five-start Sydney spring campaign, which netted three wins, before returning to training to build towards his first targets of 2025. “He’s put on a heap of weight,” Pride said. “He seems like a bigger, stronger horse. How many times have you heard that from a trainer? But he does and he is actually, because he was racing at low 480s and he’s now 520 kilos. “So he’s going to trim down a little bit before he goes to the races but there’s not an ounce of fat on him. “He’s coming up really well. “I’m scary excited. Because as exciting as it is, it’s scary having a horse that good.” Pride plans to give Ceolwulf two barrier trials leading into the Apollo but is yet to lock in when they will be. Ceolwulf finished runner-up in two Group 1s in the Rosehill Guineas and Australian Derby during his three-year-old season, when racing as a colt, before being gelded ahead of his spring campaign last year. He won a benchmark-100 race second-up last spring over 1500m at Rosehill, then was runner-up in the Kingston Town Stakes (2000m) before taking out the Epsom and King Charles III Stakes. View the full article -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Riccarton trainer Mike McCann kicked off his week on the West Coast in emphatic style at Omoto on Sunday, taking out the Westland Racing Club Miss Scenicland Stakes (1500m) with progressive mare Sprocket Rocket (NZ) (What’s The Story). The daughter of What’s The Story had found the winner’s enclosure over 2000m back in September, and since, had produced consistent performances in strong Rating 75 fields. Dropping back to the 1500m, Sprocket Rocket had opened at $14 with TAB bookmakers, but the added benefit of apprentice jockey Ruvanesh Muniandy’s three-kilogram claim had her price shorten significantly, starting at $7 on the Fixed Odds. Listed winner Epee Beel and North Island visitor Regal Dice were the key picks in the fillies and mares contest and both jumped away positively, with the latter eventually taking the lead by default heading into the first turn. Sprocket Rocket initially settled near the tail of the field, but Muniandy was assertive, tracking wide along the back stretch and took over the lead at the 800m. Epee Beel stalked the first pair and looked likely turning for home, but Sprocket Rocket was in for the fight and lifted in the closing stages, taking the victory by a head. Retail Therapy was the eye-catcher in the remainder of the field, missing the start by a significant margin and powering home into third. McCann, who also part-owns the five-year-old, was delighted with the result in a track he anticipated would suit his mare. “On her day, she’s a good mare,” he said. “I’ve always rated her, but my theory is that you only go somewhere once and if it doesn’t work out, you go back to where you belong. Today was her day to go here, the track suited while it possibly didn’t suit some other horses and she got what she was after. “He (Muniandy) ran half a furlong sooner than I wanted. I told him where to go from and when he went, I thought woah, just wait a bit longer, but he knows what he’s doing and he knows this mare. “You can give them too many instructions sometimes, I can’t feel what she’s like out there.” The West Coast circuit continues on to Reefton on Wednesday before the Kumara meeting next Saturday, which will play host to the iconic Kumara Gold Nuggets (1800m), a race McCann is now considering for Sprocket Rocket. “If she comes through this, we may as well go for the Nuggets now,” he said. Out of a one-win mare Sudders, Sprocket Rocket has now won three races and placed in a further seven from 24 starts, earning just over $100,000. View the full article -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Ciaron Maher is likely to resist testing Mrs Chrissie (NZ) (Per Incanto) at the Flemington 1200 metres for the first time in next Saturday’s Gr.3 Standish Handicap (1200m), instead setting his sights on a Listed race over a shorter trip on the Australia Day weekend. The speedster will most likely next run on January 25, in either the A$175,000 Adams Stakes (1000m) at Caulfield or the A$120,000 Durbridge Stakes (1100m) at Morphettville, which gives her a touch over four weeks between runs after her Christmas Stakes second placing on Boxing Day. That was her second Stakes placing, after a Gr.3 Monash Stakes third, but she is still seeking her first Black Type win and Maher’s assistant trainer said the January 25 events shaped as more suitable options. “Knowing her, 1000 and 1100 (metres) are her best trips and if we can space her runs, which we like doing, we do,” Turnbull said. “There’s a race in Adelaide on the same day and one at Caulfield, she’ll be in one of the two. “She’s Stakes-quality, obviously, but if we can just get that win it will be good. We’ve got her, we’ve got a sibling, the owner’s still got the mare, so it adds a lot more to the picture.” The daughter of Per Incanto boasts six wins – the most of recent of which came in effortless fashion first-up at Ballarat – and eight placings from 21 starts and Turnbull said they had not given up on a Group 1 throw-at-the-stumps if the six-year-old could land a Stakes win. “Pie-in-the-sky you would say a Grand Final could be a Sangster (Stakes) – you might have a crack at six furlongs in mares company – but we are very realistic and the ownership group is much the same,” Turnbull said. “If we could win a Listed or Group 3 in mares grade, that’s number one (goal), and then we could potential look at a Sangster.” View the full article
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